The explanation that has been given for the financial crisis
does not match up with the solution that has been devised. Moreover, the
windows into the crisis offered by the authorities are opaque rather than
transparent.
The only clarity we have is that the crisis is resulting in
financial concentration and that the bailout constitutes a massive raid by financial
crooks on both taxpayers and central bank reserves in the US and Europe.
The public monies that are being directed to private
financial institutions are huge. According to news reports, Germany is devoting
$540 billion to shoring up German banks, England is devoting $73 billion, and France
has pledged over $400 billion. The US now has four separate bailouts underway, $800
billion for banks, $200 billion for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, $85 billion for
the insurer AIG, and $25 billion for the US auto industry. These figures add up
to more than $2.1 trillion.
Some of these public monies are for purchasing troubled
paper assets. Others are to be directly injected into the banks as public
supplied capital for private financial institutions, an ironic outcome for the
free market ideology that resulted in the deregulation of the US financial
system. According to news reports, in England the entire $73 billion is being
poured into banks as publicly supplied new capital. In Germany, $135 billion is
for recapitalizing troubled banks. In the US, Treasury Secretary Paulson is
talking about using bailout money to purchase non-voting bank shares.
How is it possible that a financial crisis of such magnitude
hit with such suddenness and urgency, catching finance ministries and central
banks unaware?
If the problem is what the public has been told, namely that
defaulting subprime
mortgages are reducing the income flows through to the holders of the
mortgage-backed securities, why isn�t the bailout money being used to refinance
the defaulting mortgages and to pay off the foreclosed mortgages?
That would restore the value of the mortgage-backed
securities, and it would not be necessary to pour huge amounts of taxpayers�
money into recapitalizing banks and purchasing their bad assets.
There is not an unmanageable number of defaulting mortgages.
According to the US Treasury estimate, 90-93 percent of the mortgages are good.
How does a 7 percent or 10 percent default rate on US mortgages translate into
a systemic worldwide financial crisis?
The popping of the US real estate bubble could not produce
worldwide systemic financial crisis without the mark-to-market rule,
short-sellers, and a great deal of hype and orchestration. Why did Secretary
Paulson let Lehman Bros. fail when every other firm is
bailed out? Did Lehman�s failure, by unwinding its own large portfolio,
push hedge funds and banks into panic selloffs that spread the crisis at home
and abroad?
The US Congress held no hearings on the crisis and consulted
no independent experts. Congress responded dumbly to the financial crisis, just
as it did following 9/11 when the Bush regime handed it the USAPATRIOT Act and
the Afghan invasion. To secure Congress� acquiescence to the Paulson bailout,
the Bush regime used threats of meltdown and martial law to panic Congress into
turning over vast amounts of money for which accountability
is lacking. The hype behind the Paulson bailout is the financial version of
the mushroom cloud evocation used by the Bush regime to panic Congress into
accepting the US invasion of Iraq. Is yet another hidden agenda at work?
It is unclear how the bailout will play out. The monies for
the US bailout will have to be borrowed abroad or printed. If foreign central
banks need their dollar reserves in order to bail out their own banks that are
polluted with toxic US financial instruments, the US Treasury might not have an
easy time in the debt market. Moreover, the interest expense on an additional
borrowed $700 billion will raise the US current account deficit and burden US
taxpayers with higher interest payments. If the money has to be printed,
inflation and dollar devaluation will depress living standards for most
Americans.
If the US economy sinks deeper into recession, lost jobs and
rising interest rates on troubled mortgages will result in more defaults and
foreclosures, thus further impairing mortgage-backed securities and requiring
Congress to put more burdens on hard-pressed US taxpayers in behalf of the
banks.
The authorities have blamed subprime mortgages for the
crisis. Why then does their solution fail to address the problem of the
mortgages? Instead, the solution directs public money into an increasingly
concentrated private financial sector, the management of which is not only
vastly overpaid, but also has escaped accountability for the financial
chicanery that, allegedly, threatens systemic financial meltdown unless bailed
out by the taxpayers.
Perhaps my nose is too sensitive, but this bailout doesn�t
pass the smell test
Paul
Craig Roberts [email
him] was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury during President
Reagan�s first term. He was Associate Editor of the Wall Street Journal. He has
held numerous academic appointments, including the William E. Simon Chair,
Center for Strategic and International Studies, Georgetown University,
and Senior Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University. He was
awarded the Legion of Honor by French President Francois Mitterrand. He is the
author of Supply-Side
Revolution : An Insider�s Account of Policymaking in Washington; Alienation
and the Soviet Economy and Meltdown:
Inside the Soviet Economy, and is the co-author with Lawrence M.
Stratton of The
Tyranny of Good Intentions : How Prosecutors and Bureaucrats Are Trampling the
Constitution in the Name of Justice. Click here for
Peter Brimelow�s Forbes Magazine interview with Roberts about the recent
epidemic of prosecutorial misconduct.