What drives US foreign policy? Is it primarily the domestic
economy, as it logically should be, or, as many argue, the powerful Israel
lobby, or as others argue, the need to secure energy sources? Of course, the
answer is all three, in varying degrees depending on the geopoltical importance
of the country in question. And woe to any country that threatens any of the
above.
Russia is perhaps a special case, as US politics was
dependent for so long on the anti-communist Cold War that ideologues found it
impossible to dispense with this useful bugaboo even after the collapse of communism.
But it was not only Sovietologists like Condoleezza Rice
that perversely prospered from this obsession, but the US domestic economy
itself, which was transformed into what is best described as the
military-industrial complex (MIC). It would take very little to placate today�s
Russia -- pull in NATO�s horns and stop pandering to the Russophobes in Eastern
Europe -- but that would hurt the MIC and would hamper the US plans for empire
and oil. So it remains an enemy of choice, though not part of the Axis of Evil.
This crude characterisation by Bush/Cheney lumped North
Korea, Iraq and Iran together as the worst of the worst. With the US invasion
of Iraq, the current score is one down, two to go. But North Korea is a red
herring. It is merely a very useful Cold War foil, beloved of the MIC,
justifying its many useless, lethal weapons programmes. A popular whipping boy,
a bit of innocent ideological entertainment.
Without Saddam Hussein in Iraq, and ignoring Korea, we are
left with Iran. But Bush could easily have added Venezuela to his list, as it
is these two countries that pose the greatest real threat to the US empire.
Both have charismatic leaders who not only openly denounce US and Israeli
empire but do something about it. And both have large, nationalised oil
sectors. Chavez�s successful defiance of the US has directly inspired Bolivia,
Ecuador and Paraguay to elect socialist leaders and given Cuba a new lease on
life. Ahmadinejad has defied the many Israel-imposed bans on supporting the
Palestinian resistance and even publically questioned the legitimacy of Israel
itself. These bold and principled men are thereby pariahs, albeit useful ones
for the MIC, along with their Cold War ghost Kim Jong Il.
That is the catch. While the empire officially frets, the US
military-based economy thrives on its official enemies. It would collapse
without them. This is the supreme irony to be noted by observers of what can
only be described as the bizarre and contradictory world of US foreign policy.
Venezuela and Iran are indeed threats to the US empire.
President Hugo Chavez not only thoroughly nationalised the oil sector after the
crippling strike led by oil executives in 2002-03, but proceeded to use the
revenues to transform his country, putting it on the bumpy road to socialism --
subsidised basic goods, mass literacy and free health care. He has even been
providing poor Americans with discount gas. �The oil belongs to all
Venezuelans,� Chavez emphasised to reporters last month in Argentina, after the
government announced it was taking over oil service companies along with
US-owned gas compression units, adding to the heavy oil projects Venezuela took
over in 2007. Natural gas looks like it will be next. The point of this is to
�regain full petroleum sovereignty,� that is, full political sovereignty. No
more attempted colour revolutions for Venezuela.
Which brings us to Iran. When Mahmoud Ahmadinejad took
office in 2005, with the backing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, he
tried to wrest control of key ministries, especially oil and the government�s
National Iranian Oil Company (NOIC), from the Rafsanjani/ Mousavi capitalist
elite, replacing officials with his own choices -- primarily from the Iranian
Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). It was not till 2007 that he was able to
install his candidate for oil minister, also head of the NIOC, Gholamhossein
Nozari. Like Chavez, he proceeded to use state oil revenues to consolidate his
base among the poor, something which the so-called reformists under his
predecessor Mohammed Khatami or earlier non-reformists under Rafsanjani/
Mousavi were not noted for.
While Hashemi Rafsanjani was parliamentary speaker with
Mirhossein Mousavi his prime minister in the 1980s, younger Iranians, including
Ahmadinejad, were fighting in the IRGC (many martyring themselves) in the war
with Iraq in the 1980s. Rafsanjani became Iran�s first president in 1989 and
added to his family�s vast fortune, much of it connected with oil, during his
privatisation programme when he opened the oil industry to private Iranian
contractors. This continued under the �reformist� Khatami, who took over the
presidency in 1997.
Ahmadinejad�s ascendancy in 2005 on a platform to fight and
eliminate the �oil mafia� confirmed the IRGC as the underlying force
confronting Rafsanjani and the reformists. Throughout the 2009 electoral campaign,
Ahmadinejad attacked his opponents as leaders of the corrupt elite, now trying
to claw back control.
The elite had had enough, and the election ruckus last month
was their last stand against the clearly populist, essentially leftist Ahmadinejad
(in the West labelled a �hardliner�). Some pundits call Ahmadinejad�s decisive
win a coup d��tat by the IRGC, but the recent demonstrations in Teheran look
eerily similar to those in Caracas in 2002-03 when Venezuelan society was
paralysed by its economic elite, mobilising its own Gucci crowd, strongly
backed by the US, protesting a populist president�s determination to use oil
revenues to help the common people. Chavez risked his life in the process, but
his careful planning foiled the plotters and he survived to carry out his
agenda. Whether Ahmadinejad can do the same, and to what extent the IRGC is a
vehicle for promoting social welfare is a drama which is only now unfolding.
The Western media has uniformly denounced the Iranian
elections, with no real evidence, as fraudulent, much as it denounced the many
elections that Chavez had to undergo in the face of US-inspired strikes and
even a military coup, before the opposition and its US backers relented. The US
has generously financed Iranian expatriate dissidents and has penetrated
Iranian society with the clear intent to overthrow Ahmadinejad, exactly like
they did in Venezuela, though it is rarely mentioned in the Western press.
The US policy of using soft power to undermine unfriendly
governments is well known to both Latin American socialists and Iranian
clerics. Khamenei insisted in his sermon last week that Iran would not tolerate
the green �colour revolution� underway. No wonder that Ahmadinejad, Chavez and
Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin are such good friends. They have much in
common.
In similar electoral contests in Latin America between
nationalist-populists and pro-Western liberals, the populists have consistently
won in fair elections, so the results in Iran should come as no surprise. Past
examples include Peron in Argentina and, most recently, Chavez in Venezuela,
Evo Morales in Bolivia and Lula da Silva in Brazil, all of whom have consistently
polled 60 percent or more of the vote in free elections. The people in these
countries prefer social welfare over unrestrained markets, national security
over alignments with military empires.
The parallel between Iran and Venezuela coincides with a
flowering of relations between Iran and Latin American countries as it seeks a
way out of the US-imposed blockade. Iran will help develop Bolivia�s oil and
gas sector, has opened a trade office in Ecuador, and entered into agreements
with Nicaragua, Cuba, Paraguay, Brazil and, of course, Venezuela. Council of
Hemispheric Affairs analyst Braden Webb reports that �Venezuela and Iran are
now gingerly engaged in an ambitious joint project, putting on-line Veniran, a
production plant that assembles 5,000 tractors a year, and plans to start
producing two Iranian-designed automobiles to provide regional consumers with
the �first anti-imperialist cars.��
Perhaps what upsets the US most about Ahmadinejad is his
continued attempts to establish an Iranian Oil Bourse in the Iranian Free Trade
Zone on the island of Kish, an idea which Chavez heartily approves of. The
bourse is meant to attract international oil trading to the Middle East and to
help move international trade away from the dollar as the oil currency, currently
accounting for 65 percent of trade. Over half of Iran�s oil business is now
conducted in euros, despite the EU�s support for the US boycott. An indication
of just how evil the US considers this move is the fact that his Evil Axis
colleague Saddam Hussein was executed not long after switching his accounts to
euros. Note that Kim Jong Il remains comfortably in place despite his own
penchant for euros.
Both the Venezuelan and Iranian thorns have incensed
Washington for daring to use their oil revenues to redistribute wealth in their
societies and then organise resistance to US hegemony in their respective
neighbourhoods. They are examples which continue to inspire and which pose a
threat to US imperial policy, both international and domestic. For what better
way to solve all the ills of US society -- lack of secure health care, poverty,
violence -- than dismantling the MIC and initiating a foreign policy based on
peace rather than war?
The big difference between these two thorns, of course, is
Islam and Iran�s interference with the US-Israeli agenda. Now that the oil
companies have resigned themselves to Venezuela�s new assertiveness, they and
their government spokesmen are not so concerned with trying to overthrow
Chavez. However, the extra weight of the Israel lobby in Washington makes sure
that another Iranian revolution remains at the top of the list of Obama�s
things-to-do.
Another curious difference is that US attempts to turn
Venezuela�s neighbours against it backfired, as they came to Chavez�s defence
and followed his example, while similar efforts to conspire against Iran have
had considerable success.
The schism in both Venezuelan and Iranian societies is very
real and is being taken advantage of by the US and friends, who are doing their
�best� to engineer a collapse of the populist governments to make room for more
US-friendly colour revolutions. But there is too much Yankee baggage for this
to work anymore. It is time for a colour revolution at home.
Eric Walberg writes for Al-Ahram Weekly. You can reach him at ericwalberg.com.