Stephen
Kinzer�s book, All the Shah�s Men: An American Coup
and the Roots of Middle East Terror, tells the story of the overthrow of Iran�s
democratically-elected leader, Mohammed Mosaddeq, by the CIA and the British
MI6 in 1953. The CIA bribed Iranian government officials, businessmen, and
reporters, and paid Iranians to demonstrate in the streets.
The 1953
street demonstrations, together with the Cold War claim that the US had to grab
Iran before the Soviets did, served as the US government�s justification for
overthrowing Iranian democracy. What the Iranian people wanted was not
important.
Today, the
street demonstrations in Tehran show signs of orchestration. The protesters,
primarily young people, especially young women opposed to the dress codes,
carry signs written in English: �Where
Is My Vote?� The signs are intended for the Western media -- not for the
Iranian government.
More
evidence of orchestration is provided by the protesters� chant, �Death to the dictator, death to
Ahmadinejad.� Every Iranian knows that the president of Iran is a public
figure with limited powers. His main role is to take the heat from the
governing grand ayatollah. No Iranian, and no informed Westerner, could
possibly believe that Ahmadinejad is a dictator. Even Ahmadinejad�s superior,
Khamenei, is not a dictator, as he is appointed by a government body that can
remove him.
The
demonstrations, like those in 1953, are intended to discredit the Iranian
government and to establish for Western opinion that the government is a
repressive regime that does not have the support of the Iranian people. This
manipulation of opinion sets up Iran as another Iraq ruled by a dictator who
must be overthrown by sanctions or an invasion.
On American
TV, the protesters who are interviewed speak perfect English. They are either
Westernized secular Iranians who were allied with the Shah and fled to the West
during the 1978 Iranian revolution or they are the young Westernized residents
of Tehran.
Many of the
demonstrators may be sincere in their protest, hoping to free themselves from
Islamic moral codes. But if reports of the US government�s plans to destabilize
Iran are correct, paid troublemakers are in their ranks.
Some
observers, such as George Friedman, believe that the American
destabilization plan will fail. However, many ayatollahs feel animosity toward
Ahmadinejad, who assaults the ayatollahs for corruption. Many in the Iranian
countryside believe that the ayatollahs have too much wealth and power.
Amadinejad�s attack on corruption resonates with the Iranian countryside, but
not with the ayatollahs.
Amadinejad�s
campaign against corruption has brought Grand Ayatollah Hossein Ali Montazeri
out against him. Montazeri is a rival to ruling Ayatollah Khamenei. Montazeri
sees in the street protests an opportunity to challenge Khamenei for the
leadership role.
So, once
again, as so many times in history, the ambitions of one person might seal the
fate of the Iranian state.
Khamenei
knows that the elected president is an underling. If he has to sacrifice
Amadinejad�s election in order to fend off Montazeri, he might recount the vote
and elect Mousavi, thinking that will bring an end to the controversy.
Khamenei,
solving his personal problem, would play into the hands of the American-Israeli
assault on his country.
On the
surface, the departure of Ahmadinejad would cost Israel and the US the loss of
their useful �anti-Semitic� boogeyman.
But in fact it would play into the American-Israeli propaganda. The story would
be that the remote, isolated, Iranian ruling ayatollah was forced by the
Iranian people to admit the falsity of the rigged election, calling into
question rule by ayatollahs who do not stand for election.
Mousavi and
Ayatollah Montazeri are putting their besieged country at risk. Possibly they
believe that ridding Iran of Amadinejad�s extreme image would gain Iran
breathing room.
If Mousavi
and Montazeri succeed in their ambitions, one likely result would be a loss in
Iran�s independence. The new rulers would have to continually defend Iran�s new
moderate and reformist image by giving in to American demands. If the
government admits to a rigged election, the legitimacy of the Iranian
Revolution would be called into question, setting up Iran for more US
interference in its internal affairs.
For the
American neoconservatives, democratic countries are those
countries that submit to America�s will, regardless of their form of
government. �Democracy� is
achieved by America ruling through puppet officials.
The
American public might never know whether the Iranian election was legitimate or
stolen. The US media serves as a propaganda device, not as a purveyor of truth.
Election fraud is certainly a possibility -- it happens even in America -- and
signs of fraud have appeared. Large numbers of votes were swiftly counted,
which raises the question whether votes were counted or merely a result was
announced.
The US
media�s response to the election was equally rapid. Having invested heavily in
demonizing Ahmadinejad, the media are unwilling to accept election results that
vindicate Ahmadinejad and declared fraud in advance of evidence, despite the
pre-election poll results published in the June 15 Washington Post, which found Ahmadinejad to be the
projected winner.
There are
many American interest groups that have a vested interest in the charge that
the election was rigged. What is important to many Americans is not whether the
election was fair, but whether the winner�s rhetoric is allied with their
goals.
For
example, those numerous Americans who believe that both presidential and
congressional elections were stolen during the Karl Rove Republican years are
tempted to use the Iranian election protests to shame Americans for accepting
the stolen Bush elections.
Feminists
take the side of the �reformer�
Mousavi.
Neoconservatives
damn the election for suppressing the �peace
candidate� who might acquiescent to Israel�s demands to halt the
development of Iranian nuclear energy.
Ideological
and emotional agendas result in people distancing themselves from factual and
analytical information, preferring instead information that fits with their
material interests and emotional disposition.
The primacy
of emotion over fact bids ill for the future. The extraordinary attention given
to the Iranian election suggests that many American interests and emotions have
a stake in the outcome.
Paul
Craig Roberts [email
him] was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury during President
Reagan�s first term. He was Associate Editor of the Wall Street Journal. He has
held numerous academic appointments, including the William E. Simon Chair,
Center for Strategic and International Studies, Georgetown University,
and Senior Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University. He was
awarded the Legion of Honor by French President Francois Mitterrand. He is the
author of Supply-Side
Revolution : An Insider�s Account of Policymaking in Washington; Alienation
and the Soviet Economy and Meltdown:
Inside the Soviet Economy, and is the co-author with Lawrence M.
Stratton of The
Tyranny of Good Intentions : How Prosecutors and Bureaucrats Are Trampling the
Constitution in the Name of Justice. Click here for
Peter Brimelow�s Forbes Magazine interview with Roberts about the recent
epidemic of prosecutorial misconduct.