Is it possible to make hundreds of billions of dollars in
profits on securities that are backed by nothing more than cyber-entries into a
loan book?
It�s not only possible; it�s been done. And now the
scoundrels who cashed in on the swindle have lined up outside the Federal
Reserve building to trade their garbage paper for billions of dollars of
taxpayer-funded loans. Where�s the justice?
Meanwhile, the credit bust has left the financial system in
a shambles and driven the economy into the ground like a tent stake. Maxed-out
consumers are cutting back on everything from nights on the town to trips to
the grocery store while the unemployment lines are growing longer in every city
across the country. And it�s all due to a Ponzi-finance scam that was concocted
on Wall Street and spread through the global system like an aggressive strain
of bird flu. It�s called securitization, and it is at the very heart of the
financial meltdown.
Securitization, which is the conversion of pools of loans
into securities that are sold in the secondary market, provides a means for
massive debt-leveraging. The banks use off-balance sheet operations to create
securities so they can avoid normal reserve requirements and bothersome
regulatory oversight. Oddly enough, the quality of the loan makes no difference
at all, since the banks make their money on loan originations and other related
fees. What matters is quantity, quantity, quantity; an industrial-scale
assembly line of fetid loans dumped on unsuspecting investors to fatten the
bottom line. And, boy, can Wall Street grind out the rotten paper when there�s
no cop on the beat and the Fed is cheering from the bleachers.
In an analysis written by economist Gary Gorton for the
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta�s 2009 Financial Markets Conference, titled �Slapped
in the Face by the Invisible Hand; Banking and the Panic of 2007,� the author
shows that mortgage-related securities ballooned from $492.6 billion in 1996 to
$3,071.1 in 2003, while asset backed securities (ABS) jumped from $168.4
billion in 1996 to $1,253.1 in 2006. All told, more than $20 trillion in
securitized debt was sold between 1997 to 2007. How much of that debt will turn
out to be worthless as foreclosures skyrocket and the banks� balance sheets
come under greater and greater pressure?
Deregulation opened Pandora�s Box, unleashing a weird mix of
shady off-book operations (SPVs, SIVs) and dodgy, odd-sounding derivatives that
were used to amplify leverage and stack debt on tinier and tinier scraps of
capital. It�s easy to make money, when one has no skin in the game. That�s how
hedge fund managers and private equity sharpies get rich. Securitization gave
the banks the opportunity to take substandard loans from applicants who had no
way of paying them back, and magically transform them into Triple A securities.
�abracadabra.� The Wall Street
public relations throng boasted that securitization �democratized� credit
because more people could borrow at better rates since funding came from
investors rather than banks. But it was all a hoax. The real objective was to
turbo-charge profits by skimming hefty salaries and bonuses on the front end,
before people found out they�d been hosed.
The former head of the FDIC, William Seidman, figured it all
out back in 1993 when he was cleaning up after the S&L fiasco. Here�s what
he said in his memoirs: �Instruct regulators to look for the newest fad in the
industry and examine it with great care. The next mistake will be a new way to
make a loan that will not be repaid.� (Bloomberg)
That�s it in a nutshell. The banks never expected the loans
would be paid back, which is why they issued them to ninjas, applicants with no
income, no collateral, no job, and a bad credit history. It made no sense at
all, especially to anyone who�s ever sat through a nerve-wracking credit check
with a sneering banker. Trust me, bankers know how to get their money back, if
that�s their real intention. In this case, it didn�t matter. They just wanted
to keep their counterfeiting racket zooming ahead at full-throttle for as long
as possible. Meanwhile, Maestro Greenspan waved pom-poms from the sidelines,
extolling the virtues of the �new economy� and the permanent high plateau of
prosperity that had been achieved through laissez faire capitalism.
Now that the securitization bubble has burst, 40 percent of
the credit which had been coursing into the economy has been cut off,
triggering a 1930s-type meltdown. Fed chief Bernanke has stepped into the
breach and provided a $13 trillion dollar backstop to keep the financial system
from collapsing, but the broader economy has continued its historic nosedive.
Bernanke is trying to fill the chasm that opened up when securitization ground
to a halt and gas started exiting the credit bubble in one mighty whooosh. The
deleveraging is ongoing, despite the Fed�s many programs to rev up
securitization and restore speculative bubblenomics.
Bernanke�s latest brainstorm, the Term Asset-backed
securities Lending Facility (TALF), provides 94 percent public funding for
investors willing to buy loans backed by credit card debt, student loans, auto
loans or commercial real estate loans. It�s a �no lose� situation for big
investors who think that securitized debt will stage a comeback. But that�s the
problem; no one does. Attractive, non recourse (nearly) risk free loans have
failed to entice the big brokerage houses and hedge fund managers. Bernanke has
peddled less than $30 billion in a program that�s designed to lend up to $1
trillion. It�s been a complete bust.
To understand securitization, one must think like a banker.
Bankers believe that profits are constrained by reserve requirements. So, what
they really want is to expand credit with no reserves; the equivalent of
spinning flax into gold. Securitization and derivatives contracts achieve that
objective. They create a confusing netherworld of odd-sounding instruments and
bizarre processes which obscure the simple fact that they are creating money
out of thin air. That�s what securitization really is; undercapitalized junk
masquerading as precious jewels.
Here�s how economist Henry CK Liu sums it up in his article �Mark-to-Market
vs. Mark-to-Model�: �The shadow banking system has deviously evaded the reserve
requirements of the traditional regulated banking regime and institutions and
has promoted a chain-letter-like inverted pyramid scheme of escalating
leverage, based in many cases on nonexistent reserve cushion. This was revealed
by the AIG collapse in 2008 caused by its insurance on financial derivatives
known as credit default swaps (CDS) . . .
�The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the
Federal Reserve jointly allowed banks with credit default swaps (CDS) insurance
to keep super-senior risk assets on their books without adding capital because
the risk was insured. Normally, if the banks held the super-senior risk on
their books, they would need to post capital at 8 percent of the liability. But
capital could be reduced to one-fifth the normal amount (20 percent of 8
percent, meaning $160 for every $10,000 of risk on the books) if banks could
prove to the regulators that the risk of default on the super-senior portion of
the deals was truly negligible, and if the securities being issued via a
collateral debt obligation (CDO) structure carried a Triple-A credit rating
from a �nationally recognized credit rating agency,� such as Standard and
Poor�s rating on AIG.
�With CDS insurance, banks then could cut the normal $800 million
capital for every $10 billion of corporate loans on their books to just $160
million, meaning banks with CDS insurance can loan up to five times more on the
same capital. The CDS-insured CDO deals could then bypass international banking
rules on capital. (Henry CK Liu, �Mark-to-Market vs. Mark-to-Model�)
The same rule applies to derivatives (CDS) as securitized
instruments; neither is sufficiently capitalized because setting aside reserves
impairs one�s ability to maximize profits. It�s all about the bottom line. The
reason credit default swaps are so cheap, compared to conventional insurance,
is that there�s no way of knowing whether the dealer has the ability to pay
claims. It�s fraud, on a gigantic scale, which is why the financial system went
into full-blown paralysis when Lehman Bros defaulted. No one knew whether
trillions of dollars in counterparty contracts would be paid out or not. There
are simply more claims on wealth than there is money in the system. Bogus
mortgages and phony counterparty promises mean nothing. �Show me the money.�
The system is under water, and it cannot be fixed by more of the Fed�s presto
liquidity.
Here�s what Gary Gorton says later in the same article: �A
banking panic means that the banking system is insolvent. The banking system
cannot honor contractual demands; there are no private agents who can buy the
amount of assets necessary to recapitalize the banking system, even if they
knew the value of the assets, because of the sheer size of the banking system.
When the banking system is insolvent, many markets stop functioning and this
leads to very significant effects on the real economy. . . .�
Indeed. The shadow banking system has collapsed, not because
the market is �frozen� or because investors are in a state of panic after
Lehman, but because derivatives and securitization have been exposed as a fraud
propped up on insufficient capital. It�s snake oil sold by charlatans. That�s
why European policymakers are resisting the Fed�s requests to create a facility
similar to the TALF to start up securitization again.
Here�s a revealing clip from the Wall Street Journal which
explains what�s going on behind the scenes: �Bankers are pushing European
policy makers to consider a U.S.-style program to aid the region�s economy by
reviving the moribund market for bundled consumer loans. Officials at the
European Securitisation Forum, a trade group representing banks and other
market participants, said Tuesday that central bankers should consider stepping
in with a program similar to the U.S. Federal Reserve�s Term Asset-Backed
Securities Loan Facility, or TALF, which provides loans to private investors
who buy new securities tied to consumer loans . . .
�After suffering heavy losses on securities stuffed with
poorly made loans, investors are reluctant to wade back in, and Europe lacks
big players like the Pacific Investment Management Co. in the U.S., whose
buying can mobilize other investors. . . . The market also faces uncertainty
over how European regulators will change the rules of the game, in part by
imposing tougher capital requirements on banks, the main buyers of securitized
assets in Europe.
�One European Commission proposal would dramatically hike
the capital required of banks holding a securitized asset if the originator
allowed its share of that asset to fall below a 5 percent threshold. . . .
�Paul Sharma of Britain�s Financial Services Authority said
regulatory action is likely to shrink the investor base for ABS, in part by
increasing the capital cushions banks will have to hold against ABS holdings in
their trading books. He also argued that ABS were inappropriate for banks to
hold as liquid assets, because they have proven difficult to sell in a market
crisis.
�There is very much a query in the minds of regulators as to
whether there is a significant future for securitization,� said Mr. Sharma,
though he added his own view was that the market did have a future role.� (�In
Europe, a U.S. Way To Fix ABS Market?� Neil Shah and Stephen Fidler, Wall
Street Journal)
See? In Europe regulators still do their jobs and make sure
that financial institutions have money before they create trillions of dollars
in credit. They don�t stick with their heads in the sand while crooked bankers
fleece the public. Bernanke�s job is to step in and put an end to the
hanky-panky, not add to the problems by restoring a credit-generating regime
that transferred hundreds of billions of dollars from ordinary hard-working
people to fatcat banksters and Wall Street flim-flammers.
Mike
Whitney lives in Washington state. He can be reached at fergiewhitney@msn.com.