Recent poll results give conflicting images of the American
public, sometimes causing authorities from the world of science and religion
considerable confusion. But recent studies sponsored by the Center for the
Study of Centers reveal that striking and even shocking differences in polling
results seem to be based on who pays for the survey.
Mainstream pollsters have consistently found a liberal
tendency among a majority of Americans, and this has been true during all the
conservative administrations of the last 30 years. But other polls conflict
with these indications of more liberal leanings, and are often in shocking
contrast. While one pollster consistently found a majority supporting abortion
rights, gun control, social spending and gay marriage, another poll paid for by
the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) revealed that 75 percent of Americans
support lynching, 82 percent wish to exterminate Jews, and 98 percent support
forced prayer in schools.
�Our poll was taken among the seven members of the Ku Klux
Klan and the three American Nazi party officials, who also happen to be the
only members, so it might seem biased � admitted a spokesperson for the SPLC,
which has long maintained its funding base by sending out mailers with photos
of Klansmen, Skinheads and Nazis menacingly scowling at the camera.
And while market research firms study consumers closely to
learn what it is they wish to consume -- given choices presented by market
research firms -- they too reveal shockingly unscientific results. Surveys for
hair tonic, mouthwash and cat food, for example, always reveal a strong desire
to purchase hair tonic, mouthwash and cat food. �This is scientific� said a
member of the Council on Consumer Consciousness, �since we all know that
Americans want to purchase hair tonic, mouthwash and cat food, especially if
they have hair, bad breath and cats.�
When the techniques of pollsters are placed in the service
of political campaigns, the results reached are no less unconvincing to those
who do not pay for them, or confusing to those trying to understand their
contradictions. In seeking to learn which candidate would win the primary,
recent surveys among Democratic voters found that they support Clinton, Obama
and Edwards, in that order, unless they support Obama, Edwards and Clinton in
that order, or Edwards, Clinton and Obama, in that order. The other candidates
don't seem to register in these polls, and the Center for the Study of Centers
found, to its amazement, that this had something to do with the fact that the
others did not pay for any polls. �The winner of the poll seemed to be the
candidate who paid for the poll. Obama won his, Clinton won hers, and Edwards
won his.� The Kucinich campaign said that it would soon have money to pay for a
poll, which would reveal voter support for him and certain victory in the
primaries.
Experts on scientific polling, horse race handicapping and
hour-glass sand analysis were puzzled at all these conflicting results in so
many different fields. This could lead to a transformation of the entire
industry, beginning with the frequency of polling. National, local and state
surveys are conducted every 15 minutes, on average, but that time frame could
be expanded to 20 minutes. �We are dealing with a public that has a very short
attention span, but we may be polling them too quickly with calls every 15
minutes. A 20-minute space between surveys could give them more time to really
think about what it is they wish to purchase.�
Members of the center were pleased at the response of the
industry to their critical study. The Center CEO, professor Hansel Engrtel,
said, � Americans depend on poll results to know what it is they are thinking,
what they believe, and most importantly, what they should be purchasing. So any
changes that can make the industry perform more scientifically will be helpful
to maintaining the system without threatening stability and marketing, whether
of ordinary products or extraordinary products like politicians.�
Copyright � 2007
Frank Scott. All rights reserved.
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Frank
Scott writes political commentary which appears in the Coastal Post, a monthly
publication from Marin County, California, and on numerous web sites, and
on his shared blog at legalienate.blogspot.com.
Contact him at frank@marin.cc.ca.us.