The configuration of the New Middle East -- as envisaged by
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice during the Israeli war against Lebanon
in July-August 2006 -- most certainly has no place for more than one regional
power broker, namely Israel.
Under such an arrangement -- subservient Arabs and Iran
governed by an all powerful Israel and supervised, even from afar by the
seemingly philanthropic United States -- would ensure Israel�s �security,�
which has for long served as a casus belli, and supposed American interests in
the region. Regardless of what one thinks of such logic, in Washington, it is
still prevailing.
With the elimination of Iraq -- not just Saddam Hussein and
his Baath Party as some in the mainstream media tirelessly reiterate, but
rather Iraq as a strong Arab nation with immense regional influence -- the long
sought pact is close at hand. Iran, however, remains the only menacing reality
that stands between Israel and its powerful Washingtonian allies and this New
Middle East.
This means that the war of words between Tehran and
Washington is mostly inspired by this redoubtable strategic chasm: where
Washington strives to knock the Iran factor out of the regional equation, and
Tehran pushes with all of its might to keep itself pertinent, indeed equally
relevant to the shaping of the region�s future.
This conflict has been reduced, as required by rhetorical
necessity, to that of Iran�s alleged intent to manufacture nuclear weapons, a
right that has been exclusively reserved for Israel, who possesses hundreds of
nuclear warheads and the technology to deliver them, even past the threshold of
its intended targets, neighbouring Arab capitals.
Iran might in fact be aspiring to obtain nuclear technology
to produce the lethal weapon, to assert itself regionally, to create an
equilibrium of terror, and to -- in this age of global unipolarity -- shield
itself from the troubling fate of its neighbour to the West.
The Iraq and Korea example are textbook illustrations of how
small countries with or without deadly means of defence are treated with
partiality in the global arena; Iraq, which possesses no weapons of mass
destruction, is experiencing prolonged genocide, while North Korea has
admitted, even boasted about, the possessing and testing of its nuclear
capabilities and is now being rewarded with generous US aid packages and
security guarantees. Chances are also great that Kim Jong II will not meet the
gallows, unlike Saddam and will die peacefully in his bed. (Professor Steven
Weber�s article in the January-February issue of Foreign Policy Magazine: How
Globalization Went Bad, offers a detailed elaboration on this topic.) It�s also
important to note that the Koreans pose no danger to Israel, a fact that must
have reduced their threat level significantly.
Thus the escalating war of words between the US and Iran
must be settled somehow in a manner that yields a favourable solution for both
sides, or military confrontation is simply unavoidable.
The British Guardian revealed in a mid-February report,
quoting US officials and analysts, that the Bush administration is in the �advanced
stages� of preparing for a military strike, targeting Iran�s nuclear sites.
Though US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East Mark
Kimmitt dismissed allegations that his country is seeking a military
confrontation with Tehran, the US action -- the intensification of its naval
build up, seeking the elimination of Iranian �agents� in Iraq, and so forth --
suggests that the Guardian report is quite accurate in its estimation.
Iran is still unwavering, however. Iran�s state television
quoted the country�s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on February 17, as
he defended the country�s pursuit of nuclear technology, �Oil and gas reserves
won�t last forever. If a nation doesn�t think of producing its future energy
needs, it will be dependent on domination-seeking powers.� Again, regardless of
the dialectics of Khamanei�s rationale, the US understands this view as
continuing �defiance,� an understanding that positions the military option,
from the US viewpoint, as inevitable.
US Democrats are practically ruling out any serious
challenge to Bush�s war policies. House leader Nancy Pelosi dismissed from the
outset any possibility of impeaching the president despite his administration�s
unequalled indiscretions, to say the least, of dragging the country into a most
destructive war under false and largely forged pretexts. In the US Senate, and
for the second time in a week, Republicans managed to block a �debate� on a
resolution that would simply �rebuke� the president for his Iraq troop buildup.
Even if the debate convened and a resolution was passed, it would remain
pitifully lacking, for it is simply non-binding.
It is unlikely that Iran will back down; again the North
Korea lesson is too fresh, too poignant to ignore. Moreover, the Islamic
Republic has a formidable power base in Iraq and Lebanon: Shia militias and the
Hezbollah resistance movement respectively; the former is capable of worsening
the US army�s plight in Iraq by several fold if it decided to join the ongoing
Sunni resistance, and the latter has proved an insurmountable foe to Israel in
their latest military showdown last summer.
Naturally, the US -- which is caught in an unwinnable war in
Iraq, confined and blinded by its bizarre alliance with Israel, which is more
of a liability to Washington than a strategic advantage and who is watching its
own New World Order faltering under its feet, with Latin America going its
separate ways, and China moving into what has been the unchallenged domains of
the United States for decades -- should be expected to avoid a military
confrontation at any cost. Savvy US diplomat and former Secretary of State
James Baker had many ominous warnings in his Iraq Study Group recommendations.
A traditionalist and a pro-business politician, Baker knows well that without a
quick exit from Iraq, chaos will befall the waning empire, which is ultimately
bad for business. Baker also knows that without solving the Arab-Israeli
conflict, the US regional woes will amplify beyond repair.
But as the voice of reason, from a traditionalist viewpoint,
is being hushed or sidelined, the warmongers� hold on Washington is still as
tight as ever, one of whom is Israel and its dedicated friends on Capitol Hill.
Evidently, Israel is a prime cheerleader for war, and most
likely Israeli agents are working overtime to provide the needed case for war;
at least we know, through news reports that Israeli agents are actively
involved in Iraq and there is a possibility that they have penetrated the
Iranian domain, as well, through the northern Kurdish areas. Last November,
Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert appointed a major war advocate, Avigdor
Lieberman, as the country�s minister of Strategic Affairs and also as deputy
prime minister. Lieberman�s appointment was principally aimed at �countering�
the Iranian threat. Championing the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians, he has
recently visited Washington to largely discuss the Iranian threat and won
standing ovations and endless praise from Democrats and Republicans alike.
Other Israeli politicians have been adamant in their efforts
to convince Washington that a war against Iran will yield strategic dividends
and will ease the US mission in reigning in occupied Iraq, and will provide
Israel with the security it covets. Of course, Israel knows well the disastrous
affect that a war on Iran will bring to the waning American empire (even if
merely by observing the Iraqi situation) but it matters little in the end, as
long as the Iranian threat is eliminated, or so goes the Israeli logic.
Ramzy Baroud�s latest book, �The
Second Palestinian Intifada: A Chronicle of a People�s
Struggle� (PlutoPress, London). He
is the editor of PalestineChronicle.com;
his website is ramzybaroud.net.