No one knows how long
�bad assets� will continue to send shock waves through international markets,
nor can anyone say just what the specific fallout may be. One thing that is
certain is that taxpayers across the globe will increasingly be called upon to
support the financial system. This is pretty much a done deal, having already been
discussed in IMF position papers and elsewhere. It�s also the elephant in the
room, an unpleasant reality that will become increasingly troublesome as time
marches on.
Of course, obligatory
lip service and mostly illusory assistance will be offered to a select
assortment of hapless homeowners, struggling businesses and vociferous
taxpayers. But despite the ballyhoo, deal sweeteners and leftover crumbs tossed
around by politicians, the bulk of support, financed largely if not wholly by
taxpayers, will be directed toward shoring up selected banking institutions and
blocks of international bondholders who, through the global casino, have
speculated heavily in sophisticated derivatives instruments made up of bundled
debt, or �debt on debt.�
Moreover, it is
through these types of �assets� that foreign countries and sectors with large
blocks of bondholders are able to influence, if not dictate, governmental
policies. So it was that �the U.S. government�s decision to take control of
foundering mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was driven not by worries
about the fading U.S. housing market, but by concerns that foreign central
banks in China, Japan, Europe, the Middle East and Russia might stop buying our
bonds.� (Foreign Bondholders -- and Not the U.S. Mortgage Market -- Drove the Fannie/Freddie
Bailout, William Patalon III)
History is replete
with speculative bubbles so we are not without insight into how they occur, and
what the results are -- even if we stubbornly refuse to learn from them. The
difference this time is the extent to which these extremely risky, highly
profitable, highly leveraged �bad assets� have become embedded in economies
around the globe. The current crisis was an accident waiting to happen and we
-- or at least our policy makers and financial elite -- were duly warned about
the cause, extent and potentially lethal outcome of the problem.
Red flags have been
going up everywhere for years. For example, about the time that Warren Buffet
was laying out his concerns about derivatives in his famous 2002 Berkshire
Hathaway report, attorney Frank Partnoy was testifying before Congress that
�OTC derivatives markets, which for the most part did not exist 20 (or, in some
cases, even 10) years ago, now comprise about 90 percent of the aggregate
derivatives market, with trillions of dollars at risk every day. By those
measures, OTC derivatives markets are bigger than the markets for U.S. Stocks.�
(Testimony of Frank Partnoy Professor of Law, University of San Diego
School of Law, Hearings before the United States Senate Committee on
Governmental Affairs, January 24, 2002 )
At the time of Mr.
Partnoy�s 2002 testimony, the total derivatives market was $100 trillion. Five
years later, by June of 2007, it had reached an astonishing $516 trillion, with
some $400 trillion of that in the exceptionally risky OTC market. Some
estimates of the current derivatives market put the total at the previously
uncontemplated sum of one quadrillion dollars. This explosive growth, driven as
it is by the insatiable quest for �fast money,� has led many analysts to
conclude that derivatives speculation is what is now driving the markets -- and
the value of our money. More so today than ever before, it is the speculative
phenomenon that has long existed in international markets which prompted former
central banker Bernard Lietaer to declare in his book, The Future of Money, that �Your money�s value is determined by a
global casino of unprecedented proportions.�
Too often overlooked
is the manner in which the value of our money -- whatever form it may take --
has long been influenced, manipulated and controlled through the global casino.
Ominously, the sheer volume of modern day derivatives take this influence to a
whole new level and represents yet another step away from the true function of
money as a stable medium of exchange.
Money -- as a stable
medium of exchange and therefore a stable measure of value -- is of course the
best means by which to facilitate a fair and equitable exchange of goods and
services within an economy. Whether this money takes the form of gold, paper, seashells
or any other form in many ways misses the point as to what the true function of
money is, and how that function might best be met. Briefly stated and in order
to function properly as a stable medium of exchange, money must be a stable
measure of value -- and it must be supplied in amounts commensurate to the
needs of the economy and the people.
Neither gold, nor any
other single commodity nor small group of commodities is sufficient to meet the
true productive capacity of the people. This in fact may have been at least
part of the reason that the gold changers in ancient Babylonia first developed
an early version of the fractional reserve system when they began to loan out
more in gold receipts than the gold they actually had in their vaults.
Other problems with
using a commodity such as gold as the basis for money include the fact that
commodities are subject to monopoly control. In addition and just as
importantly is the fact that the value of commodities -- as we all know -- are
subject to the whims of the global and local marketplace, which means they
cannot serve as a stable measure of value.
Derivatives can even
more seriously undermine the ability of our money to serve as a stable measure
of value because not only are they subject to monopoly control, but they carry
with them the almost irresistible allure of �fast money� for those select few
who are both willing and able to accept heavy risk. Thus derivatives can and do
result in wild windfall profits or stupendous overnight losses through highly
leveraged bets made on the potential for future profits or fluctuations in the
value of a commodity such as gold, housing, or any other type of tangible
asset. This fact alone dramatically increases financial instability, as has
been made most apparent by recent and still unfolding events. Additionally,
nontransparent leveraging provides a way of creating virtually unlimited
amounts of �off-balance sheet� money, which further erodes the value of our
money and the stability of our money supply.
Last but not least,
and inasmuch as they are the domain of a small, select group of traders and
dealers, derivatives have become the fast-track method of shifting assets and
wealth to the financial markets at the expense of the real economy, which is
where the goods and services, including commodities, are actually being
produced. It is in this real economy where the global race to the economic
bottom is always the most acutely felt.
Unfortunately for you
and me, America�s real economy has joined the global race to the economic
bottom. Seemingly overnight, this real economy has been transformed into a
giant fire sale for our �new financial colonial masters� and derivatives have
played a crucial role.,
Here is how one
blogger starkly described the transformation process:
The
blowback that I repeatedly warned about from the monetary loosening and crony
capitalist interventions has succeeded in transforming the United States into
the world�s biggest Blue Light Special [BLS]. The crackpot theories that got us
here should be spelled out for the record: 1) Lack of transparency (causing
total breakdown in trust). 2) Systemic faulty evaluation of credit (the credit
rating process). 3) Credit insurance (underwriting with little/no reserves). 4)
Tremendous leverage (consumer/business/financial debt). 5) Massive US
dependence on foreign capital. 6) Deliberate heavy-handed attempts to
manipulate and massage both economic data and markets . . .
The lethal add-on effects of a trashed currency, Mad Max inflation eCONomics in
addition to the housing/credit rout has created a busted United States
and left it open for a Blue Light Special liquidation. Meet your new financial
colonial masters, America. We should see this BLS primarily conducted by
foreign corporate and elitist interests, sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), and
private equity firms. The criminals on Wall Street will also play a role
accelerating the process, as there are fees and commissions to be collected. These
will mostly be cash on the barrelhead purchases paid for with US Dollars, which
will be exchanged for American owned economic units and assets. For me it just
doesn�t hold that USDs will just be continually dumped another 30-50% in a
Panic or into non-income producing CUB assets like gold and oil. When prices
for American held assets are cheap enough (already happened in many cases),
your new masters will convert their moon piles of USDs into economic and
financial assets. This is one of the greatest colonial opportunities in
centuries. [The U.S.: The World�s Biggest Blue Light Special. The Wall Street
Examiner, July 20, 2008]
What nearly everyone
fails to understand -- or in some cases understand sufficiently well -- is that
the real root of the problem lies with our money creation system. Presently, we
have bank credit serving as money. It is a money of accounts, rather than a
money of exchange. Put another way and as former Senator Robert Owen --
original co-sponsor of the 1913 Federal Reserve Act -- later complained, some
last minute backdoor tweaking of the Fed Act gave us a currency with
debt-creating power instead of a currency with debt-paying power.
As a result, our money
is essentially being created by the Federal Reserve and other banks through the
making of loans or providing of credit. Up until now, this has been done
primarily through the fractional reserve system, which allows the banking
system, as a whole, to create many times more �money� as loans than what the
initial reserves amount to. In point of fact, the initial reserves are not
themselves �money� but actually loans -- or perhaps more accurately, credit --
provided by the privately owned Federal Reserve to our government.
Thus, it is the
privately owned banking system that controls our money supply because it is
through this system that our money gets created. Today, a shadow banking system
is also creating our money through the highly leveraged �off-balance sheet�
activities of the derivatives market.
Some refer to this
type of money as false money or substitute money because money is in effect
created when banks make loans to a borrower. These loans always have interest
attached and yet no money is created to pay the interest charges due on this
debt. The only way to pay these interest charges is by creating more debt as
�money� and this then serves to increase the �money� supply.
Again, accumulating
interest charges are in effect unpayable, unless more debt is incurred, due to
the manner in which out money is created. You can use yourself as a way to
understand this concept. If you take out a loan for $1,000 and then spend your
newly created �money� (in the form of bank notes or promises to pay back the
debt), you will have placed your loan �money� into circulation where others can
use it. To keep things simple, let�s say no one else is able to secure a loan,
so $1,000 is all the �money� in circulation. At the end of the year you owe
your lender $1,000 plus interest. Since only $1,000 was created as �money,� how
can you pay both the principal and interest, even assuming you have been able
to earn back all the loan/money you spent? Answer: You must take out an
additional loan. OR, you can negotiate to defer payment, which only compounds
the interest you owe.
Even worse, and
because the exponential function of compounding interest comes into play,
unpayable interest charges must accumulate exponentially over time. The
phenomenon created by the need to create ever more debt as �money� in order to
meet the demands of accumulating, unpayable interest becomes integrated into
the value of false money, decreasing its value over time and simultaneously
increasing the demand for ever more �money� as credit or debt just to pay
growing debt.
This is the real
reason why we have an economy built on debt. And because the money supply is
never adequate enough to pay accumulating interest, unbridled greed and the
attendant pursuit of �fast money� become increasingly difficult to control.
Rampant corruption soon follows and must grow ever more problematic as
unpayable interest accumulates.
Greed and corruption
aside, what this money creation system means for you and me is that the
purchasing power of the dollar is eroded over the long term due to the demands
of accumulating interest -- and this then increases the cost of doing business
and the overall general cost of living. These increasing costs are then
reflected in overall, long-term increases of prices for goods and services.
Thus, the same house
built 30 years ago has a higher purchase price today largely because your
dollars are worth less. In fact, your dollars are on the whole worth
increasingly less today than they were 90, 30, and 10 years ago, but what they
are able to purchase at a given point for a given item also depends on the
market sector and where it is in the business �cycle,� as well as whatever
subsidies, tax breaks and the like may be in play.
Essentially, however,
inflation within our current debt-based money system is actually due to debt-induced
currency devaluation, caused by accumulating, unpayable interest. The problem
has grown so huge that some researchers say that some 85 cents (or more) of
every dollar are now going to satisfy the needs of this accumulating interest,
rather than the real economy.
Bottom line is that
the whole system is governed by mathematical law and as it stands now, it is a
mathematical impossibility. Once the debt load becomes unsupportable, the
system will crash. Meanwhile, and as the debt burden grows ever larger, the
economy will go through increasing periods of instability and volatility,
despite the best efforts of the Fed to tweak interest rates and the money
supply or, for that matter, the government�s willingness to increase the debt
ceiling on the backs of taxpayers.
Ours is not the only
country facing these issues and so today, in response to the fallout generated by
the shadow banking system that arose within the derivatives market, we are in
the midst of redesigning the global credit system, according to bond fund king
Bill Gross and many others. What we all need to understand is that any redesign
of the global credit system will require continually increasing government
reliance on taxpayer dollars, so long as we continue with the current money
creation system.
Unavoidably, due to
the exponential function for calculating compounding interest, taxpayer debt
must explode as we are forced to pay ever more interest on outstanding interest.
This will continue until the labor and assets of the people can no longer be
mortgaged. We are, in other words, essentially being destroyed by the tyranny
of unpayable interest, not the tyranny of paper money.
Next, Part 4: History
Repeats as the Off-Balance Sheet Money Supply Explodes
Geraldine Perry is co-author of The Two Faces of
Money and is also the creator and manager of the related website: thetwofacesofmoney.com which includes recent reviews. This website
also has an abundance of related material and links, along with a free, down
loadable slide presentation describing the two forms of money creation and the
constitutional solution, which is not the gold-backed dollar as popularly believed.
Geri holds a Master�s Degree in Education and is also a Certified Natural
Health Consultant. As a means of imparting accurate information on health and
nutrition to as broad an audience as possible she developed the web site thehealthadvantage.com.