According to economist
and author Michel Chossudovsky, we are facing �the most serious economic crisis
in world history . . . [Moreover, this] crisis is the outcome of a deregulated
financial architecture.� (Who Are the Architects of the Economic
Collapse?, Michel
Chossudovsky)
While there is
considerable consensus for Chossudovsky�s assertions, too often left unexamined
are the underlying mechanisms of the financial architecture itself.
Simply put, this
architecture is based on a monetary system in which one man�s savings are in
effect another man�s debts, which are ultimately debts to the large financial
conglomerates. It is a system mathematically dependent on boom/bust cycles
which foster both greed and gluttony -- and facilitates continual
redistribution of wealth upwards, and away from the real producers of wealth.
The architecture for this system has evolved over centuries as a means by which
to moderate speculative activity -- particularly that kind of speculation which
involves increasingly sophisticated and complex derivative instruments.
With few exceptions,
derivatives today are an exclusive investment tool for very select groups and
individuals who have massive financial resources and lines of credit at their
disposal. These groups and individuals include large institutional investors,
insurance companies, high net worth individual investors and family offices,
U.S. endowments, foundations and pension funds, select private banks, sovereign
wealth funds and the like -- whose business in turn is handled by a relatively
few �high rolling� dealers. Thus, as Warren Buffet wrote, �Large amounts of
risk, particularly credit risk, have become concentrated in the hands of
relatively few derivatives dealers . . .�
The end result, as Chossudovsky
suggests, is that �Federal, State and municipal governments are increasingly in
a straightjacket, under the tight control of the global financial conglomerates
[where] the creditors call the shots on government reform.� (Who Are the
Architects of the Economic Collapse? Michel Chossudovsky)
Because of this rather
undemocratic and peculiar set of circumstances it is not unreasonable to
conclude that a relatively small handful of select groups and individuals,
together with their dealers and financial managers, are able to exert hitherto
unimaginable influence over whole economies, governments, and even world
events, not the least of which is the current economic crisis. This becomes
particularly obvious in view of the explosive growth of the world wide
derivatives trade which went from approximately $100 trillion in 2002 to a very
shakily estimated $681 trillion by the end of 2007.
No one knows the
extent of leveraging that went into that estimated $681 trillion, but even
assuming the more conservative -- and traditional 10 to 1 debt-to-asset ratio,
this means that potentially some $600 trillion could disappear from the world�s
economy. This is due to the fact that collapsing debt means a collapsing money
supply, since money is created when banks extend credit through what are
loosely termed loanable funds.
The manner in which
money is created (as debt) is the real reason why �credit is the lifeblood of
the economy.� And it is why governments are rushing to inject liquidity -- aka
taxpayer debt -- into their banking systems through a growing plethora of
stimulus packages, assisted buyouts, takeovers, and bailouts. As in the case of
the U.S. where �fighting the financial crisis has put the U.S. on the hook for
some $5 trillion . . . so far� (Washington�s $5 Trillion Tab, Elizabeth Moyer) it
is also why bailout and stimulus packages are exploding worldwide.
Perhaps the worst part
about all this is that the lure of fast money- together with the pressure of
mounting debt and the phenomenon created by counter party risk -- has
effectively married all levels of government, non-profits, educational
institutions, pension funds and much more to the incredibly risky -- and
exclusive -- global derivatives trade. The global derivatives trade has, in
other words, become so intertwined with the lives and welfare of governments
and ordinary individuals that talk of divorce is studiously avoided, despite
the increasingly obvious warning signals.
The current credit
crisis, caused by the unwinding of �bad asset� derivatives, is the most evident
example of this financial marriage as governments and central banks are called
upon to intervene -- and regulate, while taxpayers are called upon to foot the
bill for losses incurred in the global casino, where only a select few can
enter and signs of corruption are painstakingly overlooked.
How much longer can
this fragile house of cards be propped up through abject fear and a total lack
of understanding of alternatives? How much longer will ordinary citizens and
their elected officials tolerate increasingly obscene levels of wealth
redistribution and outright thievery in their midst?
A case in point is JP
Morgan Chase, for whom Christmas indeed seems to have come early this year. The
first Christmas present came in mid-March in the form of the privately
arranged, emergency takeover of the highly respected, privately owned Bear
Stearns by the highly respected, privately owned JP Morgan. This takeover was,
as you may recall, facilitated by the Fed and the largess of the American taxpayer
-- one of many such �deals� in which taxpayers are increasingly getting the
short end of the stick.
The claim that this
takeover -- quietly arranged behind closed doors on a Sunday when no one could
effectively object -- was done in order to avert a seize-up of the entire
global derivatives market is not of course without merit or significance.
Although Ben Bernancke maintained in testimony to Congress that the Fed�s
intervention was done to prevent a seize-up of American financial
markets he also disclosed that another major factor was Bear Stearns�
�interconnectedness with thousands of counter parties� which of course are
based all around the globe.
Importantly, as
analyst Mike Whitney points out, �Bear Stearns had total (derivatives)
positions of $13.4 trillion. This is greater than the US national income, or
equal to a quarter of world GDP -- at least in �notional� terms. The contracts
were described as �swaps,� �swaptions,� �caps,� �collars� and �floors.� This
heady edifice of new-fangled instruments was built on an asset base of $80bn at
best . . . On the other side of these contracts are banks, brokers, and hedge
funds, linked in destiny by a nexus of interlocking claims. This is counter
party spaghetti.� (The Bernanke Politburo�s Next Big Plan, Mike Whitney)
As reported by Mortgage
News Daily the demise of Bear Stearns was not entirely unanticipated since
it �had been one of the biggest gamblers (although we were calling them �investors�
at the time) in the mortgage securities business.� The price tag on the other
hand was a �real stunner.� Although later forced by irate shareholders to up
the ante fivefold (to $10 per share), the initial deal struck in secret
negotiations on Sunday March 16 for $2 per share essentially handed over the 85
year-old Bear Stearns to JP Morgan for about $236 million. This was a fraction
of Bear Stearns� market value of $3.5 billion on Friday, when its shares had
plummeted to $30 a share at Friday�s close from a high of $170 per share one year
earlier. To facilitate the deal, the Federal Reserve provided �as much as $30
billion of taxpayer monies in financing for Bear Stearns� less-liquid assets
such as mortgage securities. [So] If these assets lose even more value it will
be the Fed [and the taxpayer via the government] that will take the hit, not JP
Morgan.� (Stockholders Socked as J.P. Morgan Acquires Bear Stearns in Weekend
Rescue. Mortgage News Daily )
Curiously, JP Morgan
itself held some $77 trillion worth of the exact same kinds of �less liquid�
and highly leveraged derivatives contracts that brought down Bear Stearns.
Curiouser still is the fact that that Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan, also sits
on the board of the New York Fed.
And one does have to
wonder -- just what might be the real reason that Michael Alix, chief risk
officer for Bear Stearns from 2006-2008 and global head of credit risk
management from 1996-2006, has recently been named a senior vice president in
the Bank Supervision Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York -- to
�supervise bank soundness.� As one blogger points out: �Who would know better
what was in the dreck pool that the Fed has parked over at BlackRock than the
former chief risk officer? If Alix knows a few embarrassing things, might be
wise to give him an incentive not to talk them up.� (Fed Hires Bear Stearns
Chief . . . To Supervise Bank Soundness. naked capitalism)
To this growing list
of curiosities we can add what can fairly be described as another early
Christmas present for JP Morgan. This particular present came a mere six months
after the Bear Stearns deal -- this time with timely assistance from the FDIC
in a brokered sale of Washington Mutual. WaMu, as it was affectionately known,
represented the largest bank failure in U.S. history. Happily for JP Morgan,
this deal made it the largest U.S. depository institution -- with over $900bn
of customer deposits.
Sebastian Hindman, an
analyst at SNL Financial describes the WaMu acquisition as a �definite win for
JP Morgan. They are only paying $1.9 billion to the FDIC, and they are getting
this incredible expansion into a lot of solid markets.� Unfortunately, �[t]he
seizure by the government means shareholders� equity in WaMu was wiped out. . .
. Some bondholders will also be wiped out by the deal. [Additionally] JP Morgan
Chase is not acquiring any senior unsecured debt, subordinated debt or
preferred stock of Washington Mutual�s banks, or any assets or liabilities of
the holding company, which will be left in the receivership. The government
[courtesy of the taxpayer] will be left to sell the soured mortgage assets of
the holding company . . .� (JPMorgan Chase Buys WaMu Assets After FDIC Seizure,
Marcy Gordon, Sara Lepro and Madlen Read)
Coincidentally (or
not) and less than three weeks after the September 25 WaMu acquisition, JP
Morgan got yet another early Christmas present. As reported by Joe Nocera of
the New York Times, JP Morgan
CEO Jamie Dimon �agreed� to take a $25 billion capital injection courtesy of
the United States government -- and the Fed. No surprise then that �[t]he U.S.
government�s $160 billion handout to banks from Niagara Falls to Beverly Hills
is going mostly to lenders that need it least, putting weaker rivals at risk of
being shut down or taken over . .� (U.S. Treasury Program Shuns Banks That Need
Cash Most, David Mildenberg and Linda Shen. Bloomberg)
What makes this $25
billion present particularly interesting is revealed by Nocera�s report of a
portion of a private, recorded conference call in which one JP Morgan executive
disclosed that the $25 billion was less likely to be used to create loans to
help an ailing economy than it was to help JP Morgan take advantage of
�opportunities�:
�Twenty-five
billion dollars is obviously going to help the folks who are struggling more
than Chase,� he began. �What we do think it will help us do is perhaps be a
little bit more active on the acquisition side or opportunistic side for some
banks who are still struggling. And I would not assume that we are done on the
acquisition side just because of the Washington Mutual and Bear Stearns
mergers. I think there are going to be some great opportunities for us to grow
in this environment, and I think we have an opportunity to use that $25 billion
in that way and obviously depending on whether recession turns into depression
or what happens in the future, you know, we have that as a backstop.�(So When
Will Banks Give Loans, Joe Nocera)
The hubbub over JP
Morgan�s current good fortunes, controversial though they may be, almost too
conveniently obliterates a 2002 Congressional investigation concerning
allegations that JP Morgan helped Enron and similar corporations defraud their
shareholders. According to analyst Adam Hamilton, by July 23, 2002 -- the day
its stock took an historic nosedive, JP Morgan�s name was not only
�suspiciously popping up in virtually all the major corporate scandals in the
States� but �JPM control[ed] 51 percent of the total notional value of all the
derivatives of all the US banks playing the incredibly dangerous derivatives
game [while it commanded just] 11 percent of the total assets of all the banks
dabbling in derivatives. [JPM was looking] more like a hedge fund gone mad than
a commercial bank, a vast Frankenstein�s Monster created by the hasty stitching
together of countless cryptic off-balance sheet OTC derivatives contracts.�
Amazingly says
Hamilton, the bad news for JP Morgan was not of a derivatives implosion but
rather that �United States Congressional investigators told the media that JPM
specifically structured deals explicitly designed to mislead the investors in
major public US corporations by almost magically erasing unfavorable numbers
from corporate balance sheets . . . US Senator Carl Levin, the Chairman of the
Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, actually released an excerpt
from an incredibly damning e-mail from a JPM executive. It said, �Enron loves
these deals as they are able to hide funded debt from the equity analysts.�
[Moreover and] according to the US media, the Congressional subcommittee has
audiotapes . . . where JPM officers are telling accountants exactly how to
structure offshore entities so they appear independent.� (JPM Derivatives
Monster Crashes, Adam Hamilton)
The investigation into
JP Morgan�s relationship with Enron dealt with commodity-related trades between
JP Morgan, Enron and an offshore vehicle called Mahonia that was set up a
decade before by Chase Manhattan, the bank that JP Morgan had merged with 18
months before the Congressional investigation was launched. Unhappily for JP
Morgan, this investigation came on the heals of reports concerning JP Morgan�s
heavy exposure to the financial crisis in Argentina as well as the then looming
threat of heavy losses on loans extended to Global Crossing, the collapsed
telecoms group which at the time was itself subject to numerous regulatory
investigations. (Enron Crisis Grips JP Morgan, David Teather and Jill Treanor)
The news of JP Morgan�s
relationship with Enron and its offshore vehicle was accompanied by revelations
that energy giant Enron actually made the bulk of its money in OTC derivatives.
Moreover, the size and scale of Enron�s derivatives business dwarfed that of
the leveraged and derivatives-heavy Long Term Capital Management which just
four years before had caused the New York Fed to quietly engineer a bailout. In
2002 testimony to Congress, law professor and attorney Frank Partnoy provides
the following details, and a conclusion about the role of derivatives in Enron�s
collapse:
Enron
has been compared to Long-Term Capital Management, the Greenwich, Connecticut,
hedge fund that lost $4.6 billion on more than $1 trillion of derivatives and
was rescued in September 1998 in a private bailout engineered by the New York
Federal Reserve. For the past several weeks, I have conducted my own
investigation into Enron, and I believe the comparison is inapt. Yes, there are
similarities in both firms� use and abuse of financial derivatives. But the
scope of Enron�s problems and their effects on its investors and employees are
far more sweeping.
According to Enron�s most recent annual report, the firm made more money trading
derivatives in the year 2000 alone than Long-Term Capital Management made in
its entire history. Long-Term Capital Management generated losses of a few
billion dollars; by contrast, Enron not only wiped out $70 billion of
shareholder value, but also defaulted on tens of billions of dollars of debts.
Long-Term Capital Management employed only 200 people worldwide, many of whom
simply started a new hedge fund after the bailout, while Enron employed 20,000
people, more than 4,000 of whom have been fired, and many more of whom lost
their life savings as Enron�s stock plummeted last fall.
In short, Enron makes Long-Term Capital Management look like a lemonade stand.
It will surprise many investors to learn that Enron was, at its core, a
derivatives trading firm . . .
I believe there are two answers to the question of why Enron collapsed, and
both involve derivatives. . . . My testimony -- and Enron�s activities --
involve the OTC derivatives markets. (Testimony of Frank Partnoy Professor of
Law, University of San Diego School of Law, Hearings before the United States
Senate Committee on Governmental Affairs, January 24, 2002)
Some may recall that a
mere few weeks before the very controversial, taxpayer-assisted JP Morgan
takeover of Bear Stearns we witnessed the abrupt implosion of derivatives-heavy
Carlyle Capital. In the case of Carlyle Capital, the unheeded pleas of its
parent company, The Carlyle Group went out to involved banks to hold off on
margin calls and liquidation of mortgage assets. Led by Deutsche Bank and JP
Morgan, the group of �the world�s biggest banks� that had lent Carlyle Capital
about $21 billion -- or $20 for every dollar of initial capital -- quickly
moved to seize and sell what was left of the fund�s assets. It is interesting
to note that as of the end of 2007, counter parties for Carlyle Capital�s
repurchasing agreements included Bear Stearns, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, and JP
Morgan among several other big banks.
In the midst of the
furor created by Carlyle Capital came wind of the Bears Stearns takeover.
Incredibly, as journalist Marine Cole pointed out, �The government-supported
sale of Bear Stearns announced last week may have halted a run on investment
banks, but its pending acquisition by JP Morgan Chase would increase the buyer�s
already hefty exposure to possible failures by other banks and financial
institutions, an exposure known as counterparty risk. . . .� (Bear Churns: Bear
Stearns Deal Boosts JP Morgan�s Derivatives Exposure, Marine Cole)
So we might ask, what
is the difference between JP Morgan, Enron, Carlyle Capital, LTCM and Bears
Stearns -- or for that matter Washington Mutual and Lehman Brothers? Why did
our government and the Fed see fit to ignore signs of conflicts of interest and
malfeasance on the part of JP Morgan and facilitate the takeover or rescue of
Bear Stearns, Washington Mutual and LTCM, while Carlyle Capital, Lehman
Brothers and Enron were allowed to implode? Certainly all were very highly
leveraged, and all were heavily involved in the mortgage securities/derivatives
market. Could the difference simply be the counter parties involved?
Whatever the case, it
is more than a little problematic that Bear Stearns, Carlyle Capitol and JP
Morgan all had leverage ratios of about 32 to 1 (according to published estimates)
at the time of the Bear Stearns crisis. Worse still is the nagging suspicion
that the implied derivatives leverage on equity may have been far, far
greater than what has been reported. (JPM Derivatives Monster Grows, Adam
Hamilton )
JP Morgan is of course
still standing, but both it and other financial institutions -- including the
giant government-sponsored entities Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac -- have required
massive amounts of taxpayer assistance and perhaps not a small amount of
favoritism to boot. How many more such rescues remain in the pipeline is almost
too chilling a thought to contemplate -- particularly if you happen to be a
taxpayer. Hopefully sooner rather than later, we might actually get some
answers to some very troubling questions, beginning with why it is that �[t]he
Federal Reserve is refusing to identify the recipients of almost $2 trillion of
emergency loans from American taxpayers or the troubled assets the central bank
is accepting as collateral . . .�(Fed Defies Transparency Aim in Refusal to
Disclose, Mark Pittman, Bob Ivry and Alison Fitzgerald)
But in the final
analysis, we have to ask ourselves -- in an artificial world where risk is
limited by governments willing to overlook blatant evidence of malfeasance and
instead resort to using their citizens to subsidize business failures, and
where the opportunity for financial gain is exaggerated by extreme levels of
leveraging and non-transparent bets on bets otherwise known as derivatives -- why
wouldn�t financial heavyweights of all stripes engage in these types of bookie
transactions -- Faustian Bargains though they may be?
Next, Part 7: The Place Where Industry,
the Military and Government Meet
Geraldine Perry is co-author of The Two Faces of
Money and is also the creator and manager of the related website: thetwofacesofmoney.com which includes recent reviews. This website
also has an abundance of related material and links, along with a free, down
loadable slide presentation describing the two forms of money creation and the
constitutional solution, which is not the gold-backed dollar as popularly
believed. Geri holds a Master�s Degree in Education and is also a Certified
Natural Health Consultant. As a means of imparting accurate information on
health and nutrition to as broad an audience as possible she developed the web
site thehealthadvantage.com.