The big news at the recent NATO meeting in Romania is that
Croatia and Albania are now happy members of the family of peace-loving nations
conducting a brutal war in Afghanistan. The bad news is that Ukraine, Georgia
and Macedonia didn�t get the green light, with Russian and Greek revanchism the
culprit -- clearly a great setback to the cause of world peace.
US President George W Bush wanted to �lay down a marker� for
his legacy, and not �lose faith� with the Ukrainian and Georgian peoples and
all those other juicy ex-Soviet tidbits, so he threw the usual stage-managed
NATO script to the winds, ignoring a behind-the-scenes deal with Germany and
France, to try to slip their application in next year -- NATO�s 60th
anniversary -- when Russia isn�t looking, and loudly demanded they be allowed
to join.
�It would send a signal throughout the region that these two
nations are, and will remain, sovereign and independent states,� he opined. So,
by implication, at present they are not? Is independence something that is
reserved for this Skull and Bones fraternity? There is certainly no love lost
between Chancellor Angela Merkel, President Nicolas Sarkozy and President
Vladimir Putin, but Germany and France have no interest in provoking Russia,
something that the US seems to take delight in doing these days. And it�s not
only the two biggies; Spain and Italy, among others, have also had enough.
Wolfgang Ischinger, the German ambassador to London, stated
the obvious: a so-called Membership Action Plan (MAP) offer to a divided
Ukraine could destabilise the new government there, and not enough diplomacy
had taken place beforehand with Russia. German Marshall Fund Director Ronald
Asmus said that Bush leaves �a legacy of divisiveness� over Ukraine and
Georgia. �It was a classic example of bad diplomacy -- waiting too long to
decide, then going public and then trying to roll people, and only getting half
a loaf." As for Greece vetoing Macedonia, he said, �Only Washington could
have taken Greece to the woodshed on this issue, and it didn�t do so."
No one even bothered to comment on the explosive situation
that would result from offering Georgia a MAP. Such a made-in-USA �roadmap�
would be sure to lead right over a political cliff. As a hint of how dangerous
some of the new drivers in the �Atlantic� alliance are, Georgian Foreign
Minister David Bakradze said, �A no for Georgia will show those people in the
Kremlin that by a policy of blackmail, arrogance and aggression, they can
influence NATO decisions." Referring to a speech by Putin at a Munich
peace conference last year warning about US warmongering, Hungarian political
analyst Istvan Gyarmati said Putin �will say that the policy of brutality we
started in Munich has worked. This is the result of a Western appeasement
policy and the Russians will be extremely proud of it." So, Putin is by
implication the new Hitler? Will someone please rescind this guy�s learner�s
permit?
The other huge bone of contention is of course the US
missile bases in the Czech Republic and Poland. Bush got a NATO endorsement for
this bald provocation of Russia. During a conference organised on the sidelines
of the NATO summit by the German Marshall Fund of the United States, Konstantin
Kosachev, chairman of the international affairs committee of the Russian Duma,
said, �We still do not have a proper explanation of this project. It is not
about the number of interceptors. It is about undermining mutual confidence and
trust."
�NATO cannot guarantee its security at the expense of other
countries� security,� Putin said, complaining that some NATO members �went as
far as total demonisation of Russia and can�t get away from this even
now."
Poland is still negotiating with the US over the terms for
deploying 10 interceptors. �We are not close to a final agreement,� said Bogdan
Klich, Poland �s defence minister. �It is difficult to predict the conclusion
of talks with the Americans." Clearly sensing the US can�t afford to back
down and seeing the chance for a huge financial windfall, Prime Minister Donald
Tusk has insisted on security guarantees from the US, including new air
defences as well as US financing and protection of the system. The Czech
Republic foolishly only asked that its defence companies be involved in
building the system and that its scientists and security officials get US
training.
The promise by France to boost troop numbers in Afghanistan
did not include a commitment to put them in the line of fire alongside the
Canadians in Kandahar. Sarkozy did manage to bury General de Gaulle�s legacy of
keeping aloof from NATO�s command structure. �Let Europe �s defence pole
advance and we will continue to advance towards NATO,� he huffed. �I repeat,
these are two things that go together." Just why Europe needs three levels
of defence -- national, European and NATO -- is not clear. Nor why all defence
concerns among these supposedly peace-loving nations can�t be fulfilled
through, say, the United Nations.
This makes two failed NATO conferences in a row, after the
February shouting match in Lithuania which, along with Romania, is one of the
lucky new members of this �Atlantic� alliance. And the bases are very much a
case of the US cutting off its nose to spite its face. Putin has made it clear
numerous times that Moscow wants to cooperate with NATO on joint security
problems like Afghanistan and terrorism. But then the stated reason to invade
Afghanistan was to catch Osama bin Laden, which has been shown to hold as much
water as US claims of invading Iraq to find weapons of mass destruction. So it
is safe to conclude that the machinations to expand this very un-Atlantic
organisation and to install US missiles in eastern Europe is more smoke and
mirrors.
This was Putin�s first visit to a NATO summit meeting as
Russia �s president, and his last, and he was treated with kid gloves and even
praised by purported foes. An American official noted that Putin�s opening and
closing remarks -- which were not broadcast, in favour of Ukrainian President
Viktor Yushchenko�s -- were �very classy.� Spanish Foreign Minister Miguel
�ngel Moratinos said that Putin �showed a willingness for dialogue," that
Russia would be willing to return to the Conventional Armed Forces in Europe
treaty if Western nations were willing to compromise on the treaty limits.
Explaining Germany �s veto of Ukraine and Georgia �s MAPs, Foreign Minister
Frank-Walter Steinmeier said that after Russian anger over Kosovo�s
independence, �we could see no convincing reason to create more tension.
There seems little chance that Ukraine or Georgia will ever
join this club of Atlantic peaceniks. It�s far more likely that it will first
collapse under the weight of its many contradictions. But whatever the outcome
of the Polish missile deal, it must be observed that Russia �s checkered
relations with the Poles, Czechs, Hungarians, Lithuanians et al, and their
collective long-term love affair with things American are continuing to haunt
Russia. So far, rational voices are few and far between, but the light of day
continues to shine every 24 hours. For the present, that, and Russia �s
new-found vigour, will have to be our beacon.
Eric
Walberg writes for Al-Ahram Weekly. You can reach him at www.geocities.com/walberg2002.