If you ever felt this whole saga of these invincible
maritime desperadoes getting away with the most fantastic piracy operations
along the Somali coast is so incredibly bizarre, you are not alone.
Regardless of what many media groups have sensationally been
reporting, there is not enough information available to adequately explain the
nature of this high sea drama or to pinpoint all those who are involved.
However, there are some, state and non-state actors, who are openly positioning
themselves to be the beneficiary.
That said, let there be no mistake, the pirates are real.
And, like chemical waste dumping, illegal fishing, weapons smuggling, drug
trafficking, illegal oil exploration, illegal human trafficking, and a host of
other criminal activities, piracy is a thriving business in Somalia. These
lucrative enterprises have steadily soared in the past two decades while
Somalia was rapidly descending into a deadly spiral of anarchy.
During that period, Somalia experienced only six months of
relative peace and order in 2006 before the Washington-backed Ethiopian
invasion abruptly ended the Islamic Courts Union rule and caused Somalia to
sink into its worst political and economic conditions. Today, with over a
million IDPs (Internally Displaced Persons) and a total of over 3 million
people being on the verge of starvation, Somalia is the world�s worst
humanitarian crisis. Yet, with its 1,880 mile coastline and its proximity to
the Middle East and Bab Al-Mandab -- one of the world�s most critical trade
arteries -- Somalia still remains the most coveted strategic space.
Washington�s influence in The Horn (of Africa) has been on a
steady decline since pulling its troops out of Somalia in 1994, following that
infamous episode known as �Black Hawk Down.� But, now that a whole new
geopolitical dynamic is rapidly developing in the Middle East and The Horn -- the
increased volatility of the Middle East as Israeli-Iranian tensions increase,
and China�s multi-billion dollar oil deals with various African nations to name
a few -- Washington is compelled into a Cold War-like maneuvering for
influence.
Ensuring dominance throughout the region in terms of land,
water, and air is the name of the game- A game that historically shattered the
region�s aspiration for peace, co-existence and development.
The National Intelligence Council�s report, Global Trends
2025, projects that the U.S. will have competition in its role as the world�s
most influential nation.
As a result of their rapid economic growth, new influential
players such as Russia, China, India, and Brazil are not only going to have �a
seat at the international high table, (but) will bring new stakes and rules of
the game.� The NIC report also makes a daunting projection that in the coming
decade or two, powerful nations would be competing for access to resources
essential to survival -- food, water, and energy.
Going back to the pirates, if they did not exist, they would
have been invented! Their almost daily criminal activities have dwarfed all
other criminal enterprises. The unintended consequence of their actions is
paving a way for the architects of chaos, the so-called independent security
contractors (ISC) -- clandestine military forces immune from all laws and
accountabilities.
Already the American and European ISCs are actively
out-maneuvering each other to position themselves for hefty contracts to escort
ships through the troubled waters of Somalia and to fight piracy. But, if
history is a reliable mechanism to forecast political outcomes, this all too
familiar approach has only one plausible result, disaster.
Pirates in Somalia are said to have hijacked over 90 ships
and vessels since January. Currently, there are over a dozen ships parked along
the coastal area of the northeastern region of Somalia waiting to be bailed out
with hefty ransoms. These hijacked ships include a weapons smuggling Ukrainian
cargo ship carrying 33 Soviet-made T-72 tanks, rifles and heavy weapons
destined for Southern Sudan and a super tanker bigger than three football
fields carrying 2 million barrels of crude oil worth US$100 million dollars.
The latter was hijacked near Mombasa, Kenya, in broad daylight.
How could these village-dwelling thugs who wear macawis (cultural
skirts) for camouflage gear and dacas (flip-flops) for combat boots pull
off such sophisticated operations? How do they execute with such precision and
successfully hijack another ship virtually every other day? How could they
stealthily dodge all the sophisticated land, sea, and air counterterrorism
surveillance stationed in and around the Indian Ocean?
By no means are these high sea hooligans innocent. While
they are, on one hand, being used as a gambit or a pretext for geopolitical
positioning, they are partnering with international organized crime and any
other devils willing to make a deal.
Ironically, for decades the Straits of Malacca (between
Malaysia and Sumatra of Indonesia) have been the leading area for piracy. And,
according to IMB (International Maritime Bureau) -- an agency that, among other
things, monitors maritime crimes-- the piracy enterprise costs the shipping
industry over US$10 billion per year. Most shipping companies do not report
ransoms that they pay or goods robbed for fear of having to pay high insurance
premiums.
There are widespread anecdotal accounts of �wealthy
businessmen� from the U.S., Australia, and Western Europe being sighted in
remote areas of the piracy infested region. Meanwhile, the mightiest nations of
the world continue to send their war ships to �the world�s most dangerous
waters.�
Piracy in Somalia cannot be solved militarily. Solving this
problem will require objective focus on the root cause -- the political
quandary that broke down law and order and made Somalia a free-zone for crime,
exploitation, and human suffering. A starting point for the soon-to-take-office
new U.S. administration is to put this issue on top of its foreign policy agenda
and to develop a sound policy toward Somalia.
Abukar Arman is a freelance writer whose
articles and analysis have appeared in the pages of various media groups and
think tanks.