With the assassination of Ms. Bhutto, we are given to
understand, by many newspaper stories and broadcasts, that anti-democratic
religious zealots killed Pakistan�s last hope for democracy.
Ms. Bhutto was in many ways an admirable and accomplished
leader, a talented woman of courage, but her assassination was a far more
complex event than simplistic claims about the dark work of anti-democratic
forces.
President Musharraf, for most of the years since the
American invasion of Afghanistan, was treated in public as an acceptable ally
by the United States. The U.S. desperately needed Pakistan's help in its
invasion of Afghanistan, a land about which American politicians had little
understanding. To secure that help, America forgave Pakistan�s debts, removed
its embargo-bad guy status (for developing atomic weapons in secret), provided
large amounts of military assistance, and even managed to swallow its pride
over the embarrassing work of Pakistan�s scientific hero, Dr. A. Q. Khan, who
supplied atomic-weapons technology to other countries.
Once Americans had mired themselves in Afghanistan -- after
all the hoopla over a �victory� which amounted to little more than massive
bombing while the Northern Alliance warlords did most of the fighting against
their rival, the Taleban - the extent of the mess into which they had put
themselves slowly dawned. This is particularly true regarding the almost
non-existent border between Pakistan and Afghanistan, a huge area that forms
almost a de facto third country of Pashtuns.
Intense pressure started being applied to Musharraf to allow
American Special Forces to conduct the kind of brutal and socially disruptive
operations they have maintained in the mountains of Afghanistan. The American
approach to rooting out the dispersed Taleban, following its initial �victory,�
amounted to going from village to village in the mountains, crashing down
doors, using stun grenades, holding men at gunpoint in their own homes,
separating the village's women from the men's protection, plus many other
unforgivable insults in such a tradition-bound land.
All of this has really been getting them nowhere. In effect,
the American government demonstrated it had no idea what to do in Afghanistan
after it invaded, only knowing it wanted to get the "bad guys."
Recently, Musharraf's position vis-�-vis the U.S. has
undergone a dramatic change. Overnight, the State Department changed him from
valiant ally to enemy of democracy, and the American press obliged with the
appropriate stories and emphasis.
The reason for this change was simply Musharraf�s refusal to
cooperate enough with Bush's secret demands to extend America�s special-forces
operations into Pakistan's side of the Pashtun territory: that is, to allow a
foreign country into his country to terrorize and insult huge parts of its
population. In Bush�s worldview, this only amounted to Pakistan�s fully
embracing the �war on terror,� but for many Pakistanis, the �war on terror� is
only one more aspect of American interference in their part of the world. The
Taleban is viewed by millions there as heroic resisters, standing up to
American arrogance, a view not without some substance.
In trying to accommodate Bush, Musharraf launched various
showy operations by Pakistan�s army, but his efforts were viewed in Washington
as weak. The U.S. kept pushing the limits, trying to force Pakistan to
internalize the �war on terror,� and Musharraf resisted. There was a horrific incident
in which the U.S. bombed a madrassah (a religious school) in rural Pakistan,
succeeding only in killing eighty children, falsely claiming it was Pakistan�s
work against a terrorist center.
Musharraf has, rather bravely, opposed America�s demands for
a de facto American invasion of his country. He has been remarkably
outspoken about American policies on several occasions, not something
calculated to endear him to Bush�s gang. So, suddenly he became an undemocratic
pariah who needed to be replaced. It was easy enough to exploit public
dissatisfaction with a military dictator, even if he was only trying to do his
best for his country within some terrible limits.
America gave Ms. Bhutto a blessing and a gentle push, likely
a bundle of cash, and undoubtedly the promise of lots of future support, to
return home as opposition to Musharraf. One could fairly say that her
assassination just proves how little Washington policymakers understand the
region. It sent her to her death, desperately hoping against hope to get what
it wanted.
Ms. Bhutto was regarded in Washington as more amenable to
American demands in Pakistan. She had the double merit of being able to give
Pakistan�s government the gloss of democracy while serving key American
interests. But it couldn�t be clearer that democracy is not what the U.S. was
really concerned with, because Musharraf was just a fine ally so long as he did
as he was told.
The truth is that Musharraf has, in opposing America's
demands, been a rather brave representative of Pakistan's interests, a patriot
in American parlance.
True democracy for a place like Pakistan is a long way off,
not because of this or that leader or party, but because of the country's
backward economic state. This is even truer for Afghanistan. You cannot
instantly create democracies out of lands living in centuries-old economies,
burdened with centuries-old customs. The best thing America could have done for
this region would have been generous economic assistance, but the U.S. has
demonstrated, again and again, it has little genuine interest in that sort of
thing. The customs and backwardness of centuries only melt away under the tide
of economic development. Democracy follows almost automatically eventually.
The
quick fix is what the U.S. demands, a quick fix to its own perceptions of
problems under the guise of supporting democracy and opposition to terror, will
achieve absolutely nothing over the long term.