There are
several large problems that afflict the globe in a major way today, with the
economy being the prime time concern receiving the vast majority of the
governmental/corporate/media attention. Global climate change seems to have
dropped off the mainstream media�s agenda. Similarly, the global war on terror
is much less in the spotlight, although here in Canada with four recent deaths
from IEDs a quick flurry of �support the troops sympathy� and �good news from
Afghanistan� flashed on the screens. These are the big three: the economy,
global climate change, and the war on terror.
Each one is
generally treated separately and other �minor� problems come into focus
occasionally, but the reality behind them is that they are all directly
involved with one another. The unifying reality behind all three is the cult of
consumer consumption based on extracting as much as possible from the earth�s
resources in an unsustainable way. Another way think of it is of too many
people vying for insufficient resource wealth for all of the world to continue
living as modelled by the �American� way of life, a way of life in which
consumption is the means and the end.
It should
be obvious to anyone attending beyond the headlines and beyond the scope of
mainstream analysis in general: that consuming energy at our current rate; that
consuming it with the thin plastic debt supported mainly by foreign countries;
that the purchase and use of all that is not necessary but is a created need by
the propaganda of the transnational corporation�s desire to enrich themselves,
with only the necessary crumbs to keep the masses satisfied; that the military
necessity of capturing and guarding those resources; and that the final product
of all those resources is some form of catastrophe for the environment, whether
it be species decline, global warming, or pollution of land and air; then the
only conclusion that can be reached is that we are self-destructing from our
own greed and arrogance as we destroy landscapes and cultures around the world.
With the
end of the criminal Bush government a great deal of hope was stirred within the
minds and hearts of people around the globe who witnessed the success of Barack
Obama�s election campaign, placing the first black U.S. citizen into its
highest governmental position. That feat in itself is significant -- to a
degree -- but for all the talk of hope and courage and �American can do�
spirit, the first months of the presidency have been long on talk, hopeful
talk, forward looking talk, but little in the way of real change.
As seen by
the paragraph before the preceding, it is quite a mouthful to fit a one size
fits all problem around the globe. It is difficult to deal with, and while
certain people can manage a global perspective, and while only a few are
capable of taking global action, to everyone else remains a narrower focus,
made necessary by only being able to deal with a much smaller range of action
at any given time. Unfortunately, those who are in position to take global
action are either not acting, or are continuing to repeat previous actions that
supported their own elite position and that of their cronies to remain at the
top of the consumptive resource heap, well above and removed from the garbage
heap they create while doing so.
I write with
a sense of wonder that so many of the people in power either wilfully do not
see the inter-relationships, or are ignorant of the relationships between the
economy, the environment, and war. Or, as with most politicians, they simply do
not have the mental capacity to deal with information that unsettles their
predisposed view of the world and their comfortable positions within their
respective national and broader global social structure. No one can see it all,
no one can do it all, but striving to grasp a humanitarian, environmentally
friendly global perspective needs to be a much bigger goal for individuals and
society at large. Combine that with positive action at a local level, a ground
up democracy, rather than a top down plutocracy, and gains will be made. This
then is the state of the world as I see it, divided into its separate realms.
Even being separated for discursive purposes, the realms remain woven together
through real elements of cash flows, resource harvesting and usage, and more
nebulous elements of foreign and domestic policies of the U.S. and many other
countries.
The economy
The economy
is the current big item, one that threatens to overwhelm concerns about the
environment and conceal the nastiness of the ongoing global war on resources.
Even as I write, there has been a surge in the stock market that has many
pundits hopeful, although having been bitten fiercely by their inability to
predict the level of the downturn, most are being guarded as to their
predictions -- and yes, after the weeks surge, the continuing downturn. Within
the economic problems are glimpses of what could be done to alleviate many
other concerns.
The most
amazing aspect of the whole economic mess -- perhaps this should not be amazing
considering the true nature of the beast -- is that all the trillions of
dollars being spent to alleviate the recession are taxpayer dollars going to
the corporate heads who placed us in this mess in the first place. All the
supposed expertise of the Clinton era advisors that populate the new
administration is being used to bailout the corporations, banks and finance
companies that created the financial mess.
I am not
sure what they do not understand -- or perhaps what I do not understand. The
economy is still a �finance economy� based on no real production of goods and
services (other than the paper circle of financial services). The economy is
still being touted as �consumer spending� when the enormous debt problems of
the government and the citizens remain unresolved (while those of the
corporations are resolved by the huge bailout) and the main way to solve the
economic problems is, bizarrely, to open more credit and get people spending
more money they do not have.
The economy
is an imagined one of workers producing goods for purchase, but the reality is
far different. There is no agricultural class of any size any more, most
agriculture has been co-opted by huge agro-corporations. The people who in
former times used to populate the agricultural fields were released for labour
intensive work in the factories that created real products and true wealth
(although they more often than not did not receive their fair share of the
wealth they created). Now we find ourselves in a generation where the
productive industrial/factory work has gone to markets where labour is even
cheaper -- and further, many IT companies, many finance companies are
outsourcing their service requirements as well.
If the jobs
do not return, if the mortgages continue to fail, who is going to be asking for
credit and be willing to put themselves even further into debt in order to get
the economy rolling again? Having the government buy up all that debt will not
necessarily lead to re-employment; nor will �shovel ready� jobs create any
significant financial boost if the money gained is used to save for an
uncertain future and buy down current debt, neither of which creates the much
worshipped capitalist �growth� ethic.
Enter China
Another
problem crops up with the bailout money. If new money is used to buy it up,
money printed by the Federal Reserve System, the inflationary pressure on the
dollar will increase, making it of less value (this helped the Spanish Crown to
pay off its large empirical debt after its wars and plunders in Europe and
abroad). If that happens, currency traders in places where the U.S. debt is
held -- China, Japan, Taiwan -- could start getting rid of their dollar
reserves.
Similarly,
if Treasury Bills are being sold to investors to support a debt that has
neither the industrial capacity nor a well-valued currency beneath it to
support the paper wealth, foreign investors in U.S. debt may start wishing
their investment interest was elsewhere other than the U.S. financial markets.
With China being one of the major holders of U.S. debt (one trillion according
to the figure I read today), and one of the major exporters of consumer goods
to the U.S. markets, it becomes a double-edged dagger. And as the reality of
the economy cannot escape its entanglements with war and foreign policy, China
could assume significant leverage in both global economic matters as well as in
the resource wars and political rivalries that are battling out in the Middle
East and South Asia right now.
One of the
wonders of the Internet is the ability to read news from around the world
uncensored by the timid self-censoring eye of the U.S. media. Suggestions arise
in Asian media about the Chinese dealings with the U.S., following their own
quiet course, providing �suggestions� to the U.S. as to what they would like to
see develop in the Middle East, while letting the U.S. continue with its
bombast and rhetoric about democracy and freedom and terrorism. China of course
is not too concerned about the niceties of controlling terror, but when it
comes to their own geopolitical back yard, they are concerned about the
disasters that could arise from continued U.S. occupation and wars in the
region. The Chinese are not fools -- I would bet that if they had to pull the
plug on U.S. finances and let the U.S. economy go down the drain in order to
maintain some geostrategic balance, they would not hesitate to do so. Before
that, they would be much more in favour of �encouraging� the U.S. to proceed in
a manner that would stabilize the region as much as possible in China�s favour,
in return for which they would still support the U.S. debt. [1]
This is
connecting into the realm of resource wars and the global economy, but before
more fully immersing thoughts into the war arena, a few more comments on global
economics come to mind.
No free markets
Simply put
there are none, never has been. Although what was hoped for was almost what
they got, the free flow of investment money around the world and in and out of
whatever investment devices could be dreamed up without any over-riding
financial regulations. That was the goal of the international corporations
colluding for world governance, which in a sense they have achieved, as they
seem to operate above and beyond any national government. However the current
economic crisis has put some large dents into the corporate end of things.
As for the
rest of us, we have to live with all sorts of constraints and rules and
regulations that are neither fair, free, nor transparent, but that is the life
inside the corporations as well. That for me is one of the full ironies of this
�free trade -- free market� nonsense. It does not exist yet it is these
decidedly non-democratic, non-free, non-transparent corporations that call for
the rest of us to believe in them. Added to that are the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (and their related think tank the Organization
for Economic Cooperation and Development -- OECD), and their manipulations via
restructuring plans and loan requirements that essentially harvest the wealth
of the country to which they are applied, keeping the workers and labourers
indentured to slave wages with only minimal or no benefits and working
condition rules while the elites of the country pay off the endless debt by
being forced into selling export products, usually meaning mono-crop
agricultural produce and mineral resources. Now that�s another large mouthful,
and another large impetus towards abandoning the Washington Consensus and
capitalism.
Unfortunately
for the beleaguered world economy, just when the IMF appeared to be on its last
legs, calls for help have been received from Iceland and other European
countries whose economies are being wrecked by their own foolishness in buying
into the U.S. inspired speculative markets. The reality of its destructive
effect on social services will begin again, this time rather than in some poor
third world country, now in a neighbourhood near you. Canada�s government
rather arrogantly overstates the strength of our local economy, because for
whatever reason (partly being government regulations) they did not buy into the
speculative dream (although had the Harper government had a simple majority,
deregulation more than likely would have followed). With eighty-five per cent
of our economy based on U.S. markets, Canada�s economic downturn will be as
long as the U.S. downturn, except for a few choice areas such as the Alberta
tar sands developments.
While
Canada escapes the grip of the IMF, other countries now have to deal with the
requisite depreciation of their social networks budgets in the areas of health,
education, and retirement benefits in order to pay of their huge loans.
Argentinian style default seems like a rational decision under these
conditions.
Capitalism at fault
In general,
capitalism is at fault. I am not against individual�s making their living and
creating their own wealth through their own business. However, unfettered
capitalism, the dream of the worlds Reaganites and Thatcherites, involving
large national and supranational corporations with little if any regard for
either human social structures or the environment in which they live,
necessitates poverty and environmental destruction in order to maintain its
ingathering of the world�s wealth. It has been the history of corporations --
starting with empirical land companies or royal land charters such as the East
India Company, The Governor and
Company of Adventurers of England trading into Hudson�s Bay (HBC -- now U.S.
owned), and others -- to fight with their respective national protectors for
the wealth and resources of �discovered� and deeded territories.
That is a literal
fight, as no empire, no business empire, has ever survived without the backing
of an army, a navy, or an air force. There is general if quiet admission the
�American Empire� operates with the �hidden fist� of the military. Any
intelligent observer of U.S. history knows that the hidden fist is not really
that hidden, not to the occupied or dominated indigenous territories. It has
been quite obvious in the many little wars and interventions -- overt and
covert -- around the world that have kept the local population -- or more
correctly their controlling elites -- amenable to corporate U.S. control, from
the banana republics of Central America through to the oil republics of central
Asia. Once again the argument on the economy enters the realm of the military.
Without surprise.
The extent of U.S. military bases around the world is common knowledge to most
readers of current events. The U.S. dominance of air space is a given, without
which their ready victories in Iraq and Afghanistan would have been a lot
bloodier, and their lengthy occupations would have had a lot more U.S. troops
killed and injured although with less �collateral damage� from airstrikes.
Okay, I am over the boundary from economics into the realm of the military, but
one last comment on economics before leaping fully into this territory -- the
economists themselves.
Economists
There have been very
few economists who seem to have any rational view of the world economy (by
economists I include everyone from the local financial advisors on up through
the banking system to the government �bankers� and further through to all the
academic economists in our schools and think tanks). None in the wrong places
at the wrong time (most of them) were able to foresee the collapse of the
system based on huge extended debt derivatives, or more basically, on an
economy based on promoting more and more consumptive debt to create the capitalists�
artificial mantra of �growth,� a statistical lie set in a finite world of
limited resources. It would be fine if all that financial wheeling and dealing
was limited to the world of arcane invented statistics and forged mathematical
formulas [2] but they do have real world effects, on the social and physical
environments of people in all countries, the wealthy and the exploited.
A recent essay by
James K. Galbraith [3] provided a good outline of the current crisis and some
suggested solutions. What attracted my attention was his comment on economists:
�Economists are a
cautious group, and in any
extreme situation the midpoint of professional opinion is bound to be
wrong.[Italics in original]� Chances are both of the endpoints are bound to be
wrong as well, as economics is not a science as much as it is claimed to be,
and is about as successful at predicting human behaviour as para-psychology and
astrology.
Galbraith�s
argument is good, but his final word is filtered through his U.S. patriotic
lenses, as he indicates that while the U.S. may be in recession it will not go
the way of Argentina and Indonesia (two IMF bankrupted economies). This is
�Because the rest of the world recognizes that the United States performs
certain indispensable functions, including acting as the lynchpin of collective
security and a principal source of new science and technology.� Indispensable?
More U.S. exceptionalism. Hardly the lynchpin of collective security, unless
one is thinking of corporate security and U.S. military global military
pre-eminence, certainly not for the security of the indigenous peoples of the
world and independent national aspirations which are squashed any time they do
not fit the U.S. corporate agenda. Hardly the principal source of new
technology -- I would argue that as China rises, as China turns its economy
inwards to its internal market of 750 million (providing they are also
intelligent enough to offer wage increases that allow them to buy the goods -- a
Ford Motor Company plan for the Chinese), and as it increases its
military/scientific efforts with its space program that it too will provide a
huge source of science and technology. The Chinese are not stupid, do not
underestimate them.
An opposing
view of the U.S. market/financial/technological strength is presented by Paul
Craig Roberts, former assistant secretary of the Treasury, who looks at it all
with �The US . . . dependent on imports for energy, manufactured goods
including clothes and shoes, and advanced technology products.� [4] Not the
�stuff� of a strong economy. Nor is the economy strengthened by the huge sums
of the bailouts for the corporate financial world in order to sustain the elite
in their positions of wealth, while passing the burden of the debt onto the
shoulders of the taxpayers.
Current U.S. plans on the economy are based on
the shakiness of these illustrious economists who put us into this mess in the
first place. Al-Jazeera�s take on the Geithner plan asks the question, �Who is
providing the deep thinking about the economic architecture? He is not an
economist; president Obama is not an economist.�[5] Perhaps that is a good
thing, but only if they do not pretend to be economists and pretend, to dare,
to hope, that they do understand the economy.
Twice now I have entered into the realm of the military
while discussing the global economy. It cannot be avoided as they are united in
many areas. However, I now turn my attention to a focus on the military, which
of course means I will cross back over into economic matters going the other
way. It cannot be avoided.
[1] For starters,
see China reads the riot act: Strict conditions
for bailing out US and buying US T-Bills, an article and site
with a good overview and good links to many of the problems entangling China
and the U.S. in the Middle East and South Asia. Asia Times On-Line also provides a fairly coherent different
perspective on Asian/American topics.
[2] See
Miles, The dismal science becomes gloomier, Axis of Logic, September 16, 2008. 1
[3]
Galbraith, James K., No Return to Normal - Why the
economic crisis, and its solution, are bigger than you think.
[4]
Roberts, Paul Craig, Is the bailout breeding a bigger
crisis?, Online
Journal, March 27, 2009.
[5] Aljazeera.net,
US plans
to buy up �toxic� assets, March 22, 2009.
Jim Miles is a Canadian educator and a regular
contributor/columnist of opinion pieces and book reviews for The Palestine
Chronicle. Miles� work is also presented globally through other
alternative websites and news publications.