�Don�t blame the mirror if your face is
crooked.� --Vladimir Putin quoting a Russian proverb
If the Bush administration proceeds with its plan to deploy
its missile defense system in Poland, Russian Prime Minister Putin will be
forced to remove it militarily. He has no other option. The proposed system
integrates the entire US nuclear arsenal into one operational-unit a mere 115
miles from the Russian border. It�s no different than Khrushchev�s plan to
deploy nuclear missiles in Cuba in the 1960s.
Early last year, at a press conference that was censored in
the United States, Putin explained his concerns about Bush�s plan: �Once the
missile defense system is put in place it will work automatically with the
entire nuclear capability of the United States. It will be an integral part of
the US nuclear capability. . . . And, for the first time in history -- and I
want to emphasize this -- there will be elements of the US nuclear capability
on the European continent. It simply changes the whole configuration of
international security. . . . Of course, we have to respond to that.�
Nuclear weapons specialist, Francis A. Boyle, says the Bush
administration�s plans represent the �longstanding US policy of nuclear
first-strike against Russia.�
In Boyle�s article �US Missiles
in Europe: Beyond Deterrence to First Strike Threat,� he states, �By means
of a US first strike about 99 percent+ of Russian nuclear forces would be taken
out. Namely, the United States Government believes that with the deployment of
a facially successful first strike capability, they can move beyond deterrence
and into �compellence.� . . . This has been analyzed ad nauseam in the
professional literature. But especially by one of Harvard�s premier warmongers
in chief, Thomas Schelling -- winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics granted by
the Bank of Sweden -- who developed the term �compellence� and distinguished it
from �deterrence.� . . . The USG is breaking out of a �deterrence� posture and
moving into a �compellence� posture. (Global Research 6-6-07)
Bush�s real goal is to force Moscow to conform to Washington�s
diktats or face the prospect of first-strike nuclear annihilation. Putin must
respond.
Putin needs to present his case before the UN General
Assembly emphasizing how the proposed US system upsets the nuclear balance of
power and poses a direct threat to Russia�s national security. He should give
an account of US activities in Central Asia since the fall of the Berlin Wall
showing how the Bush administration has pursued a hostile policy of
encirclement and strangulation towards the Russian Federation. The US has
brought most of the former Soviet satellites into NATO, including Poland,
Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia and now is seeking membership for Georgia and
Ukraine right on Russia�s border.
The US has expanded its military installations in other
areas of Central Asia, primarily Afghanistan, posing long-range problems for
the entire region.
The Bush administration has also used its intelligence
agencies and NGOs to foment political unrest and topple regimes which were
sympathetic to Moscow in its �color-coded� revolutions. Eurasia is now
inundated with American puppets who get their marching orders from the White
House.
Also, the US and its allies have declared Kosovo, a vital
part of Serbian territory, independent without UN approval. Serbia is a
traditional ally of Russia�s. Many analysts now believe that the recent
fighting in South Ossetia was directly connected to the Bush administration�s
blatant disregard for Serbia�s sovereignty.
Putin recently responded to these developments saying, �Some
people have the illusion that you can do everything just as you want,
regardless of the interests of other people. Of course, it is for precisely
this reason that the international situation gets worse and eventually results
in an arms race. But we are not the instigators. We do not want it. Why would
we want to divert resources to this? And we are not jeopardizing our relations
with anyone. But we must respond. Name even one step that we have taken or one
action of ours designed to worsen the situation. There are none. We are not
interested in that. We are interested in maintaining a good atmosphere.� Putin
added, exasperated, �So what should we do?� The present situation has brought
us �the brink of disaster!�
Russia has complied with its treaty obligations and removed
all of its heavy weapons from Eastern Europe and put them behind the Ural
Mountains. It has reduced its military by 300,000.
At the same time, Washington has increased its arms
shipments to new allies in Eastern Europe and is building two new military
bases in Romania and Bulgaria. Missile defense components and radar are going
up in the Czech Republic and Poland. Obviously, Russia cannot continue to
disarm unilaterally while neighboring states bulk up with new US-made weapons
systems.
When Putin heard that the Bush administration was developing
�bunker-busting� nuclear weapons he said he told Bush, �It would be better to
look for other ways to fight terrorism than create low-yield nuclear weapons
that lower the threshold for using these weapons, and thereby put humankind on
the brink of nuclear catastrophe. But they don�t listen to us. They are not
looking for compromise. Their entire point of view can be summed-up in one
sentence: �Whoever is not with us is against us.��
It wasn�t Russia who scrapped the Anti-Ballistic Missile
Treaty (ABM). That was the Bush administration, too.
American expansionism has thrust the world into another arms
race pitting East against West Cold War-style. The present system of
international security has been upended and we are moving inexorably towards a
military showdown between the two nuclear-armed powers.
As Putin stated at the press conference, �I am convinced
that we have reached that decisive moment when we must seriously think about
the architecture of global security.�
Indeed.
Russia is experiencing a Renaissance. Twenty million people
have been raised from poverty since Putin took office eight years ago. The
Russian economy has been growing by 7 percent a year, real incomes are growing
by an astonishing 12 percent per year and Moscow has become a thriving center
of global trade. Oil and natural gas have restored Russia to its formal role as
one of the great world�s great powers. The last thing Putin wants is a nuclear
standoff with the United States. But he will not shirk from his
responsibilities, either. If the missile defense system is deployed, Putin will
be forced to raise the stakes and send warplanes over the construction site.
That is the logical first-step that any responsible leader would take before
removing the site altogether.
Bush should consider very carefully whether he wants to go
ahead with this game of nuclear chicken or not. Putting a knife to Moscow�s
throat is an act of aggression equal to invading Iraq, only this time the
victim has the ability to fight back.
Mike
Whitney lives in Washington state. He can be reached at fergiewhitney@msn.com.