We, Americans, not unlike other materialistic societies
inhabiting this earth, have for the most part a very narrow focus on the problems
we face and an even narrower one on the problems that might sprout beyond our
frontiers.
A few tears will be shed this week by those more
compassionate in our society for the horrendous catastrophe befallen Haiti, but
rest assured that life will continue on, the major issue of concern in our
lives remaining at center stage, and that happens to be the dismal state of our
economy.
In a week or two, after the media has milked dry this human
tragedy occurring in the Caribbean, those poor souls living in Western
Hispaniola most likely won�t be given a second thought. Help will be sent
initially by much of the world, including this neighbor less than 200 miles to
its northwest, but it will be limited; after all, it�s money that the US will
have to borrow this year in addition to the $700-plus billion dollars needed to
conduct two wars . . . plus a few other empire-building incidentals. But after
the initial phase, this natural disaster will be treated with similar disregard
as the many others that happen to be manmade. And the desperately poor Haitians
will be left to fend for themselves, just as those who continue to live in
utter despair in �punished Gaza,� or millions victimized by our wars of choice
(Afghans, Iraqis, Pakistanis) and surreptitious ways (Cubans do come to mind);
none of these people-issues appear as a major concern to Americans if for no
other reason than the purposeful silence imposed by our corporate press.
So the American media, after a slight pause, will return to
covering some aspects -- definitely not all -- that affect changes in the
economy. For the most part, they will continue parroting what politicians and
other special interests want Americans to believe: that the recession is over;
that our economy is on the mend. Confidence must reign supreme in order to
maintain the capitalist house of cards intact; after all . . . isn�t �consumer
sentiment� supposed to be the most revered leading economic indicator among the
sacred ten?
The recession is over; our economy is on the mend . . . that�s
what we are being told. But how accurate is that? Such statement, however well
intentioned, couldn�t be any further from the truth! This recovery, so-called
experts say, does not follow the old pattern of putting people back to work. Who,
then, recovers if not the people who suffered most?
Our Washington leeches -- whether elected, selected or
connected -- are telling us that the United States, or rather its economy, is
on the path to recovery . . . except that in the process we may have added a
few more million workers to the unemployment rolls. To either the permanent
unemployment or the underemployment rolls!
To this date, most world economists have accepted the idea
that under capitalism a certain amount of unemployment is inevitable, the result
of the dynamics in the labor market -- no �hidden� unemployment such as that
which occurs in socialist economies, they will say. This inevitable
unemployment has been known, depending on its origin, by many names: classical,
cyclical, frictional and structural. In the United States we have been living
with structural unemployment in the range of 3 to 5 percent for the best part
of four decades, a range that we have been taught to accept as a necessary
evil, a tribute we must pay for the opportunity to live in a First World nation
under the wings of what we inaccurately call free enterprise.
Figures from our government�s �statistical house� indicate
there are 15.3 million people jobless, or 10 percent of what is considered the
labor force, versus 7.7 million jobless at the start of the recession (end of
2007). Not �statisticalized,� however, we could have an additional 20 million
people suffering from some form of underemployment -- not employed at their
level of skill or only working part-time -- or accountability . . . simply too
discouraged to even seek work. This calamitous situation is not just a
byproduct of the recession but the result of a labor holocaust allowed by
unregulated globalization, what might be called grievous �deemployment,� the
permanent movement of high skill, highly compensated jobs to developing
countries at a speed which played havoc with the proper utilization of existing
infrastructure in nations losing those jobs, something rarely touched on in the
analyses usually made on the total impact of globalization on mature,
industrialized economies. Bottom line: two out of five American workers have
been affected adversely by this �deemployment,� one in a very direct way
through either unemployment or underemployment, one in an indirect way by not
being permitted to share in the benefits of a higher productivity (wage
stagnation).
There is some pseudo-optimism to be sure; what I would call
�hopeful daydreaming� by some people -- mostly those stuck with overvalued real
estate assets, both commercial and residential -- of a return to yesteryear
where everyone was or could easily become a millionaire under an ongoing
government-sanctioned Ponzi scheme. But at this point, the only thing the
American government and the Fed are buying is time . . . and a miracle by which
the American debt which now exists, $12-plus trillion, plus another $6-10
trillion which has yet to surface as �overvalue� in real estate and stock
market assets, is in some way �absorbed� by the world economies, and the US ends
up getting a free ride. Or, as an option of last resort, the US declares de
facto bankruptcy by devaluing the dollar by as much as 70 or 80 percent.
Truth be told, not only are we in a recessionary rot but one
of three things could happen that would keep us submerged in a very long and
deep depression or, more accurately put, bring us to economic reality. First,
that real estate values find their proper bottom without any intervention by
the government . . . and the continuance of artificial values (still 10 to 30
percent too high, depending on locale). Second, that American consumers become
rational in their consuming behavior and start saving, instead of being
wasteful. And third, that the international lenders, most particularly China,
come to the realization that their economic relationship with the US has ceased
to be symbiotic or necessary, and decide to cut off the money supply, thereby
creating an insurmountable debt crisis for this nation. Any of the three, alone
or in combination, can call this government�s bluff on its bet that the
recession is over, and that we are marching towards economic resurgence.
President Obama concedes that he hasn�t been able to bring
the country together . . . as if such a possibility ever existed! He also
worries that inflation-adjusted weekly wages for those lucky enough to work
fell 1.6 percent last year. And, most concerning to him, he is beginning to
realize that it won�t be the wars in the Middle East or South Asia that might
doom his administration . . . but a sick economy; an economy he inherited from
his two, yes two, predecessors. But instead of accepting and passing out the
realities of the US economy to the people, educating them as to where we are,
his administration insists on falling in the tradition of Washington
politicians, talking recovery, for that�s what they believe people really want.
Recovery: a return to normal times . . . a normalcy which never existed; one of
credit, Ponzi dreams and bubbles.
Now with Haiti front and center, Obama has no alternative
but to accept the challenge to America�s role in foreign disaster response. Hopefully,
this president will handle such an enormous challenge with clarity and vision,
giving the United States an opportunity to shine. Unfortunately, his choice of
two former presidents to lead the charge, if only in a symbolic way, is a
questionable start. George W. Bush is a war criminal and creator of
catastrophes . . . also tested, with failing results, in a major natural
disaster: Katrina. As for the other figurehead, Bill Clinton, one could easily
render him culpable of America�s labor holocaust. Although 35 million mostly
penny-jobs were created during Clinton�s two terms in office, which at that
time on the surface made him a hero, there were 10 million dollar-jobs lost and
the consequential infrastructure devastation for many of our proud,
longstanding middle-class industrial communities . . . all because of Clinton�s
love affair with globalization.
No, it isn�t economic recovery the US needs, only truthful enlightenment
as to where the US stands in the world as both a producer and a consumer of its
resources.
� 2010 Ben Tanosborn
Ben
Tanosborn, columnist, poet and writer, resides in Vancouver, Washington (USA),
where he is principal of a business consulting firm. Contact him at ben@tanosborn.com.