(WMR) -- According
to senior State Department sources, a major confrontation is looming between
the United States and Israel over policies ranging from Palestine to Iran.
The new Likud/Yisrael Beiteinu government of Israel is
pushing an agenda that runs counter to longstanding U.S. policies in the Middle
East. Yisrael Beiteinu party Chairman Avigdor Lieberman, the new Israeli
foreign minister, is seen by one State Department source as an �Eastern
European fascist who practices racism.�
State Department sources are now convinced that what has
been called the �Israel Lobby� in Washington will soon morph into an even more
problematic �Likud/Lieberman Lobby� that will push a pro-war and pro-settler
policy within the Congress and the Barack Obama administration. This new and
more aggressive lobby will particularly use its control over Representatives
Steve Israel (D-NY) and Mark Kirk (R-IL), as well as Senator Charles Schumer
(D-NY), to ensure that Israel�s new policies are conveyed to and acted upon by
White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel and Obama senior policy adviser David
Axelrod.
However, there are several potential breaking points between
the Obama administration and the new Israeli government, according
to State Department sources. One will be U.S. interaction with Hamas, the
duly elected government of Palestine. The term of Palestinian President Mahmoud
Abbas has elapsed and actual legitimate power in Palestine belongs to Hamas.
This political fact means that the United States has no choice but to talk
directly to Hamas.
There is also the issue of Hamas being a party that favors
the ballot box over traditional Middle East power grabs, whether they are by
princes, generals, religious figures, or plain thugs. According to State
Department sources, Hamas has even lectured Lebanon�s Hezbollah, which they
claim in the past was generally opposed to achieving power
through elections in Lebanon, to become more democratic. That change has
occurred, according to the sources, with Hezbollah now fully engaged in the
democratic process.
The popularity of Hamas, especially in the wake of
Israel�s genocidal war against Gaza, has alarmed the governments of Egypt,
Saudi Arabia, and, to a lesser extent, Jordan, because of its zeal for winning
power through elections and not coups. State Department sources say that if
Egypt had fair and democratic elections, the Muslim Brotherhood, which spun off
Hamas in Palestine, would win handily and the Hosni Mubarak dictatorship would
come to and end. The same situation exists in Saudi Arabia, where the Saud
family is nervous about the popularity of Hamas and views it as a potential
threat to the House of Saud.
State Department personnel are aware from field observations
that the Fatah movement of Abbas in Palestine is viewed by most Palestinians as
corrupt and thuggish while Hamas is seen as clean, vigorous, and appealing.
Another confrontation that looms between the United States
and Israel concerns Israel�s 200 nuclear weapons. With the United States
engaged in direct nuclear talks with Iran and Saudi Arabia calling for an
international regime to supply nuclear fuel for power plants along with
safeguards that such technology cannot be converted to weapons development,
there is also the likelihood that there will be a major push to create in the
Middle East a nuclear-free zone. If the United States buys into such a plan, it
will mean Israel will have to dismantle its nuclear arsenal. Given what State
Department officials describe as Israel�s suicidal �Masada complex,� such a
plan will be next to impossible to enact given the current drift of Israel to
more theocratic and right-wing rule. As one State Department source put it, �We
cannot address the Iranian nuclear program without addressing the Israeli
nuclear weapons program.�
U.S. intelligence officials are also prepared to stop
considering intelligence that comes to the CIA and other agencies from Mossad
and other Israeli intelligence elements. The new team taking over at the
Directorate of National Intelligence and the CIA are acutely aware that the
Israelis have, as one insider put it, �a long history of deceptive dissemination
of disinformation� to U.S. intelligence officials, adding that while some
foreign sources have �inadvertently provided bad intelligence, Israel has been
deliberately dishonest.�
U.S. defense officials also note that Israel cannot attack
Iran without U.S. collusion. The United States controls the airspace over both
Iraq and the Persian Gulf and any Israeli air assault would require U.S.
approval. Under the present administration, that scenario is unlikely WMR is
told.
�The only way Bibi Netanyahu will attack Iran is if he is
assured that Iran will respond by hitting U.S. military forces in the region
forcing a U.S. military response,� one official told WMR. The official added, �Israel,
on its own, cannot wage a sustained air campaign against Iran.�
Vice President Joe Biden recently warned Israel from
conducting any military action against Iran.
Previously
published in the Wayne
Madsen Report.
Copyright � 2008 WayneMadenReport.com
Wayne
Madsen is a Washington, DC-based investigative journalist and
nationally-distributed columnist. He is the editor and publisher of the Wayne Madsen Report
(subscription required).