There's a new Cold
War brewing between Russia and the West but if you get your news from the
mainstream English-language media you'd be hard pressed to guess the real
temperature -- a little above freezing.
But even the BBC
couldn't ignore Moscow's latest rhetoric. On Sunday, under the headline
"Russia warns of 'preventative' nuclear strike," the BBC quoted the
Russian military's chief of staff.
"We do not intend
to attack anyone, but we consider it necessary that all our partners in the
international community clearly understand that for the defence of our
sovereignty and the territorial integrity of Russia and its allies, the armed
forces will be employed, including preventively the use of nuclear
weapons," said General Yuri Bauyevsky.
It's a pretty broad
threat with the reference to Russia's "allies" open to
interpretation. Does Moscow consider Iran in that category, for instance?
Certainly the
statement's timing indicates this may be the case as also on Sunday Russia
delivered an 11-tonne fuel consignment to Iran's Bushehr nuclear power plant,
the fourth in a series of eight consignments to be completed by February.
Bauyevsky's warning
comes on the heels of the US president's tour of the region during which he
tried -- and failed -- to whip up anti-Iranian sentiment, while Israel cheered
him on from the sidelines.
In truth, though,
most commentators would say it was inconceivable that Russia would go that far
even to protect its not insubstantial financial interests within Iran. But it's
also true to say that Moscow has rarely been as bellicose in recent times.
Indeed, the Russian
leadership has abandoned the softly-softly diplomatic approach to disagreements
on a whole range of issues.
Last week, during a
visit to Bulgaria, President Vladimir Putin warned the West that its support of
Kosovo's independence from Serbia would be "illegal and immoral."
And while he was
there, he sealed a gas pipeline deal as well as a $5.9 billion contract to
build a nuclear power plant in Belene on the Danube; a plan described by its
detractors as dangerous and unnecessary.
Russia's tough
talking may be paying off as the Polish government is no longer as enthusiastic
about playing host to a US missile defence system as it once was.
That's hardly
surprising as both it and the Czech Republic were warned by the head of
Russia's missile forces that if they go ahead, Russian missiles will be pointed
in their direction.
The US has insisted
the European-based system will counter threats from Iran and North Korea but
the Russians aren't buying it. Moscow is also angered about Georgia's
intentions to join NATO, which would see NATO encroaching on Russia's borders.
Georgian President
Mikhail Saakashvili has proffered an olive branch to Moscow and expressed a
desire for greater ties. For the time being, Russia is also extending the hand
of friendship, probably in hopes it can steer Georgia away from the clutches of
NATO.
As for Moscow's
relationship with Britain, this is at an all time low. Cracks formed when
Russia refused to extradite Andre Lugovoi, a suspect wanted by Britain in
connection with the poisoning of former Russian agent Alexander Litvinenko. The
UK responded to Russia's refusal by expelling four Russian diplomats.
Tensions
Predictably Moscow
did the same but later ratcheted up tensions by ordering the closure of British
Council branches by January 1. When the deadline was ignored, Russia
"initiated a campaign of intimidation," according to the British
Council's chief executive, Martin Davidson.
This consisted of the
council's Russian employees being called in for questioning by Russian security
services and tax enforcers; moves that have provoked outrage from Britain and
the EU.
"We saw similar
actions during the Cold War but, frankly, we thought they had been put behind
us," said British Foreign Secretary David Miliband while addressing
Parliament.
The evidence is there
for all to see. Russia is tired of playing second fiddle to the US and is in no
mood to take orders from Britain or anyone else.
Putin has said he
regrets the break-up of the former Soviet Union, and is doing all he can to
expand his country's sphere of influence. His are no empty sentiments either.
Moscow's bark could
well be a lot worse than its bite and perhaps we shouldn't rush to take threats
of preemptive nuclear strikes too seriously. Nevertheless, when the pieces are
fitted together there is this clear message. Move aside Uncle Sam. There's another
fast gun in town.
Linda
S. Heard is a British specialist writer on Middle East affairs. She welcomes
feedback and can be contacted by email at heardonthegrapevines@yahoo.co.uk.