The Bush administration will attack
Iran as early as spring
2007. The administration is on total war
Over the next few months, the administration and its allies
and functionaries will create and provoke a pretext that forces a political
consensus behind an attack on Iran. Any or all of the following may occur:
resistance to US occupation within Iraq is blamed on Iran. As previously
noted, the idea that Iran is arming Iraqi attacks against US forces is
a central theme of new Bush administration propaganda. Paul Pillar, former
CIA officer and member of the Council on Foreign Relations, is among many
critics arguing that Iran is not
behind the attacks. This will not stop the Bush-Cheney apparatus from
spewing lies to the contrary.
major terror attack against US interests is blamed on Iran. In recent
testimony before the US Senate, Zbigniew Brzezinski warned that the Bush
administration is headed on a �downhill track towards a head-on conflict
with Iran and much of the world of Islam� -- and that the conflict may
begin with a major terror
attack, either domestically or overseas, against Americans by Iran.
(See also here,
In Brzezinski�s words, the Bush
administration�s mismanagement of Iraq is an �historic, strategic and moral
calamity,� �driven by Manichean impulses and imperial hubris� that �intensifies
regional instability� and (of primary, if not sole concern to Brzezinski) �undermines
America�s global legitimacy.� Brzezinski, a chief architect of the US �Grand
Chessboard� geostrategy, which laid the foundation for the 9/11 attacks, has
been an outspoken critic of the Bush administration�s �mishandling� of the war.
The Bush administration has longed for the right moment to set off �the
diplomacy characterized as terrorist interference by Iran.
and imaginary Iranian responses to Bush administration rhetoric or
provocations will be characterized as war provocation by Tehran.
evidence of Iranian nuclear �intentions� will be �found,� and presented to
the �international community,� in order to sanction punishment.
Will the world fall for it again?
Gates lays the propaganda groundwork
In just completed testimony
that may lay the official foundation for the coming Iran attack, Defense
Secretary and Iran-Contra participant Robert Gates has asserted that Iran is �very
much involved� in arming Iraqi �militants.�
This new assertion (which Gates has not backed with
verifiable proof from a credible source) is based on serial numbers allegedly
found on the remnants of bombs used against US forces in Iraq. Gates also stated
that material seized during the (illegal and Bush-ordered) raid of the
Iranian liason office in Irbil, Iraq is being included in the larger case
of cooked and false intelligence against Tehran.
Gates, who skated into his post as Donald Rumsfeld�s
replacement, posing as a critic of the Bush administration�s Iraq war policy,
is now the Bush administration�s number one weapon of mass deception on Iran.
The Iran-Iraq region has been brimming with CIA activity for
well over a year. It is already a known fact that George W. Bush personally
covert operations several months ago, aimed at baiting Iran into a war.
Iran�s intelligence minister, Gholam Hossein Ejeli, claims
that Iran has uncovered
a network of 100 CIA and Mossad agents. (Also see here.)
This comes in the wake of a Bush �shoot to kill�
order: hunt down and kill Iranians in Iraq.
Militarily and politically encircled
Events are unfolding exactly as warned by
former UN weapons inspector Scott Ritter, whose book. Target: Iran, predicted
every step the criminal Bush administration and its allies have taken.
In the view of John Pilger, the
war is already on.
As noted by Dmitriy
Sedov, preparations for devastation of Iran in the spring are well
underway. Among the many clear signs:
UN Security Council Resolution envisions that a further tightening of the sanctions
imposed on Iran must take place after February 21, 2006. From the
standpoint of international law, this is a pretext (essentially a poor
one, but one that does exist) to legalize an aggression against a country.�
US aircraft carrier groups armed with nukes are moving into the region.
The US aircraft carrier groups have been on missions 5 times over the past
15 years. In 4 cases out of 5, they launched military offensives. In March
2007, both groups are to take their combat positions.�
ground forces are shifted to the border between Iraq and Iran.
Preparations for a new phase of hostilities are underway.�
February, Patriot missile defense systems will be ready to defend Israel
and the aircraft carrier groups from enemy airstrikes.�
combat engineers are entering the regions of the future fighting, clearly
in order to operate in the Strait of Hormuz, where Iranians are most
likely to lay mines.�
US and Israel launched a powerful information and propaganda campaign
preparing the global public opinion for aggression.�
Commander John Abizade, an opponent of the war with Iran, resigned. His
position was taken over by Admiral W. Fallon, a veteran of the 1991 Iraq
and 1995 Bosnia campaigns.�
The Bush administration is pushing for a �surge� of up to
50,000 troops to the Middle East. Although ostensibly for Iraq, but this force
is clearly intended to coincide with action against Iran.
The murder and cover-up of an Iranian diplomacy
In 2003, Tehran sent a sweeping proposal to the Bush
administration (via the Swiss Embassy) for dialogue and regional cooperation.
Bush administration officials confirm that this memo was widely circulated and
discussed -- and flatly rejected by the White House.
New charges of possible criminal cover-up have emerged
regarding the sudden �memory
lapse� of top Bush administration figures regarding this proposal.
Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice confirmed the memo in a
recent interview on National Public Radio (�what the Iranians wanted earlier
was to be one-on-one with the United States�), but suddenly reversed course.
She now claims �I don�t remember ever seeing any such thing.� According to the Washington
Post, Flynt Leverett, Rice�s staff member at the National Security Council,
the Iranian proposal was received, and discussed.
In an interesting twist, Leverett claims that it was not his
responsibility to �put it on Rice�s desk� because Iran-Contra co-conspirator
Elliot Abrams was in charge of Middle East policy. Like Rice, Abrams, who now
serves as the deputy national security adviser in charge of Middle East �democracy
promotion,� also claims �no memory of any such fax and never saw or heard any
Former State Department officials also claim to have seen
the Iranian offer, and note that it was incorporated into a 2003 memo to
then-Secretary of State Colin Powell, proposing a �grand bargain� with Iran.
According to the officials, Powell did not forward the memo to the White House.
Worldwide �terrorism� resurgence
The Bush administration�s buildup comes simultaneously with
new and resurfacing threats from �terrorists� working covertly on behalf of
Anglo-American interests. Bush-Cheney�s �war on terrorism� criminal network is
ramping up for a new phase of violence that it will connect to Iran.
According to unnamed US and British intelligence officials, �Al-Qaeda�
has regrouped, and are once again �capable and intent on launching mass
attacks around the globe.�
In Afghanistan, under US occupation (and, not surprisingly,
in the middle of a once
again mushrooming heroin industry), the Taliban and Al-Qaeda, both of which
serve as military-intelligence fronts for the US, are �back.� New York Times
Gall reports that the new Taliban surge in Afghanistan is connected to
Pakistan and Pakistan�s ISI. In the course of her investigation, Gall was assaulted
by ISI agents.
Gall has clearly hit a major nerve. Pakistani civilians �fear
the ISI�, and for good reason. The activities of the ISI (a virtual branch
of the CIA), the connection between the CIA and the ISI, cuts directly to the
heart of ongoing Anglo-American military-intelligence operations across the
Middle East and Central Asia. Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl
was murdered in 2002 during his investigation of the ISI, and connections
between the ISI and �Al-Qaeda,� and 9/11.
Even as Tehran has attempted repeatedly to assist the Bush
administration in hunting down terrorists, the Bush administration continues to
blame terrorism on Tehran. A report that Osama bin Laden�s son was located in Iran will no doubt be used
as fodder by the Bush propaganda apparatus.
Wag the dog
In addition to its many long-term geostrategic agendas
behind an attack on Iran, the publicly despised Bush administration is facing
political fallout domestically, and competition from the neoliberal faction
(the Democrats) positioning for new political gains.
In another black eye for the administration, a recently
from the Pentagon�s Inspector General blasts Office of Special Planning,
headed by neocon (Project for a New American Century) stalwart Douglas Feith,
for manufacturing �dubious� intelligence leading up to the Iraq war, including
a �predisposition� to link Iraq with Al-Qaeda.
The greater the damage to the Bush administration, the
greater the odds of a new �wag the dog� distraction -- �the
next 9/11� -- orchestrated by the Bush administration and Karl Rove.
Washington virtually silent on Iran
The �mismanagement� of the Iraq
occupation, and feeble attempts to wrestle control of the Iraq political
agenda, remains the focus of endless Washington political posturing and
Iran and Bush-Cheney�s provocations have not been major
topics of argument. Based on what little discussion there has been on Iran, the
leading Democrats are reportedly split
over the issue.
But they are uniformly behind the Bush administration�s �war
on terrorism,� which seals Iran�s fate. A convincing pretext would easily bring the Democrats
in line to support an attack.
According to Michael Klare, conflict with Iran must
be viewed as a chapter of resource war. According to some Iranian
estimates, there is enough energy to last many decades. The Bush
administration must also be infuriated that Tehran has shown intense
interest in doing energy business with foreign investors (not American
ones), and maintains good ties with both China and Russia.
As Peak Oil and Gas makes itself known in earnest, and the
lifeblood of the Anglo-American empire disappears drop by drop, Iran�s
geostrategic importance (as a target) looms.
The gates of hell open wider
Some skeptics have maintained for years that the Bush
administration will not attack Iran, based on the rational concept that not
even the Bush administration and its neocons would be insane enough risk a
full-blown superpower nuclear war.
But in a testimony before Congress, Robert Gates declared
that the Pentagon, indeed, has plans for full-scale war
against Iran, Russia and China. This statement, a virtual promise of world
war, suggests that the Anglo-American establishment is prepared to wage the endless
war. So much for sanity.
In his strongest criticism yet, Russian President Vladimir
the Bush administration for its �almost uncontained use of military force�
and �unilateral, illegitimate actions.� Said Putin, �One state, the United
States, has overstepped its national borders in every way.�
The next murderous overstep will be the destruction of Iran.
article has been updated and slightly revised from the version published Feb.
12 on www.carolynbaker.org.