fundamental realities of the war in Afghanistan include the following.
is not an invading guerrilla force. The word �insurgents� nicely hides the fact
that they are natives of the land we have invaded.
they are a substantial portion of the population, not a small group.
attacked no one.
bunch were mainly Saudis, almost certainly on a secret CIA training program in
the U.S. that went very sour (they had valid American visas, and they were
being followed closely by Mossad).
Laden has been dead since the horrific bombing of Tora Bora. The extent of that
bombing has been kept secret, but it was earth-shattering by first-hand
as a former British Foreign Secretary admitted a few years ago, does not exist.
It is a Pentagon nickname to cover a group of disparate fundamentalist Muslims
who hate American policy. The word means toilet.
worked to keep alive the idea of both bin Laden and Al Qaeda because they serve
as focuses for the lunatic �war on terror.�
have a war on a technique or a set of attitudes; it�s a pure nonsense, rather
like Israel�s mantra about there being no such thing as a Palestinian people.
went to Afghanistan, dragging others along, for vengeance, which it got in
spades. Now, it does not know what to do.
In a sense,
it is the victim of its own propaganda. As well, there are now huge entrenched
interests in the Afghanistan effort, everything from Blackwater Corporation
(renamed Xe Services LLC) to the manufacturers of Hellfire missiles. America�s
Israel apologists, too, never saw a war against Muslims they didn�t like: put
them in their place, so to speak.
great assembly of forces for a newcomer like Obama to oppose, and, truth be
told, he has already buckled.
cannot win his war. Absolutely, he cannot hold down a huge country of 30
million people, a land of mountains and deserts and sweltering heat and
hardscrabble poverty; moreover, a place where millions deeply resent America�s
arrogance and brutality.
that Obama intends only to make a show and to reach a compromise with the
Taleban from a position of increased strength and then get out with a shred of
dignity. It is starting a system of payoffs -- successful short-term in Iraq --
hundreds of millions for opponents to lay down their arms temporarily.
But I am not optimistic. The Afghans are some of the
toughest, hardest people on earth, largely because they live in an extreme part
of the world with almost no wealth.