It is impossible to keep up with all the Bush regime�s lies.
There are simply too many. Among the recent crop, one of the biggest is that
the "surge" is working.
Launched last year, the "surge" was the extra
20,000-30,000 US troops sent to Iraq. These few extra troops, Americans were
told, would finally supply the necessary forces to pacify Iraq.
This claim never made any sense. The extra troops didn�t
raise the total number of US soldiers to more than one-third the number every
expert has said is necessary in order to successfully occupy Iraq.
The real purpose of the "surge" was to hide
another deception. The Bush regime is paying Sunni insurgents $800,000 a day
not to attack US forces. That�s right, 80,000 members of an "Awakening
group," the "Sons of Iraq," a newly formed "US-allied
security force" consisting of Sunni insurgents, are being paid $10 a day
each not to attack US troops. Allegedly, the Sons of Iraq are now at work
fighting al Qaeda.
This is a much cheaper way to fight a war. We can only
wonder why Bush didn�t figure it out sooner.
The "surge" was also timed to take account of the
near completion of neighborhood cleansing. Most of the violence in Iraq during
the past five years has resulted from Sunnis and Shi�ites driving each other
out of mixed neighborhoods. Had the two groups been capable of uniting against
the US troops, the US would have been driven out of Iraq long ago. Instead, the
Iraqis slaughtered each other and fought the Americans in their spare time.
In other words, the "surge" has had nothing to do
with any decline in violence.
With the Sunni insurgents now on Uncle Sam�s payroll, with
neighborhoods segregated, and with al Sadr�s militia standing down, it is
unclear who is still responsible for ongoing violence other than US troops
themselves. Somebody must still be fighting, however, because the US is still
conducting air strikes and is still unable to tell friend from foe.
On February 16, the Los Angeles Times reported that a
US air strike managed to kill nine Iraqi civilians and three Sons of Iraq.
The Sunnis are abandoning their posts in protest,
demanding an end to "errant" US air strikes. Obviously, the
Sunnis see an opportunity to increase their daily pay for not attacking
Americans. Soon they will have consultants advising them how much they can
demand in bribes before it pays the Americans to begin fighting the war under
the old terms.
If Sunnis are smart, they will split the gains. Currently,
the Sunnis are getting shafted. They are only collecting $800,000 of the $275
million it costs the US to fight the war for one day. That�s only about
three-tenths of one percent, too much of a one-sided deal for the Americans.
If the Sunnis negotiate their cut to between one-quarter and
one-half of the daily cost to the US of the war, the Sunnis won�t need to share
in the oil revenues, thus helping the three factions to get back together as a
country. Even 10 percent of the daily cost of the war would be a good deal for
the Sunnis. A long-term contract in this range would be expensive for Uncle
Sam, but a great deal cheaper than John McCain�s commitment to a 100-year Iraqi
war.
If Bush�s war turns out to be as big a boon for the Sunnis
as it has for Tony Blair, we might have a modern-day version of "The Mouse That Roared"
-- a movie about an impoverished country that attacked the US in order to
be defeated and receive foreign aid -- only this time the money comes as a
payoff for not fighting the occupiers.
As the world now knows, Blair�s "dodgy dossier"
about the threat allegedly posed by Iraq was a contrivance that allowed Blair
to put British troops at the service of Bush�s aggression in the Middle East.
Now that Blair is out of his prime minister job, he has been rewarded with
millions of dollars in sinecures from financial firms such as JP Morgan and
millions more in speaking engagements. As part of the payoff, the Bush
Republicans have even put Mrs. Blair on the lucrative lecture circuit.
Ask yourself, do you really think Blair knows enough high
finance to be of any value as an advisor to JP Morgan, or enough about climate
change to advise Zurich Financial on the subject? Do you really believe that
after hearing all the vacuous speeches Blair has delivered in those many years
in office anyone now wants to pay him huge fees to hear him give a speech? Even
when it was free, people were sick of it.
Blair is simply collecting his payoff
for selling out his country and sending British troops to die for American
hegemony.
The Sunnis seem inclined to do the same thing if Bush will
pay them enough.
Is the next phase of the Iraq war going to be a US-Sunni
alliance against the Shi�ites?
Paul
Craig Roberts [email him] was
Assistant Secretary of the Treasury during President Reagan�s first term. He
was Associate Editor of the Wall Street Journal. He has held numerous academic
appointments, including the William E. Simon Chair, Center for Strategic
and International Studies, Georgetown University, and Senior Research Fellow,
Hoover Institution, Stanford University. He was awarded the Legion of Honor by
French President Francois Mitterrand. He is the author of Supply-Side
Revolution : An Insider's Account of Policymaking in Washington; Alienation
and the Soviet Economy and Meltdown:
Inside the Soviet Economy, and is the co-author with Lawrence M. Stratton
of The
Tyranny of Good Intentions : How Prosecutors and Bureaucrats Are Trampling the
Constitution in the Name of Justice. Click here for Peter
Brimelow�s Forbes Magazine interview with Roberts about the recent epidemic of
prosecutorial misconduct.