It looks as though everything is going to plan for Israel
and its backers within the international community. The Palestinians are
divided as never before with the West Bank dominated by Fatah while Gaza is the
province of Hamas. Now that Hamas has been virtually corralled in one
vulnerable area it is ripe for destruction.
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has dismantled his unity
government and sworn in an emergency Cabinet made up of secular technocrats.
Hamas refuses to recognize its legitimacy. It is a recipe for further
inter-Palestinian conflict.
But Hamas leaders have a lot more to worry about. According
to a report in Britain�s Sunday Times, Ehud Barak, a former Israeli prime
minister who has recently been appointed defense secretary is planning to
launch a major assault on Gaza to take Hamas out of the game once and for all.
Residents of Gaza are bracing themselves for an Israeli
military onslaught and a possible prolonged war of attrition. There are long
queues for petrol and food is disappearing off supermarket shelves. The Israeli
company responsible for supplying fuel to Gaza has already turned off the tap,
which means people are literally facing a period of darkness.
The Israeli justice minister has suggested opening the doors
between Gaza and the West Bank for those Palestinians wishing to flee. This
could be construed as an invitation for Fatah supporters to join their
brethren.
In the meantime, Israel and its friends are rallying around
Abbas, which tends to diminish whatever credibility he has left among his own
people, many of whom suspect him of collaborating too closely with the
occupiers and of being too eager to toe the US line.
Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert met Tuesday with US
President George W. Bush to discuss the situation. En route to Washington
Olmert had this to say: �A government that is not a Hamas government is a
partner.�
This is new. A government led by former Fatah leader Yasser
Arafat wasn�t a partner. Instead it was reviled and attacked.
And a government led by Mahmoud Abbas following Arafat�s
demise wasn�t a partner either. That was initially given the brush-off and was
later undermined by US demands for democrat elections.
The talks between Olmert and Bush centered on how best to
bolster Abbas, their new best friend. The US will relax restrictions on aid to
Palestinians living on the West Bank and Olmert has indicated his willingness
to release tax revenue --ithheld by Israel ever since Hamas was elected to
power -- to the new government.
�To give it to a Hamas government is reckless,� said Olmert.
�To give it to a Fatah government is an opportunity.� The US has been supplying
Fatah with weapons to use against Hamas for some time now with the approval of
the Israeli authorities. Now that Hamas has control of Gaza some of these
American-supplied weapons have fallen into its hands.
For its part, Hamas insists it needed to stamp its authority
on Gaza to return to the rule of law and to prevent its officials being
targeted for assassination. Given that the home of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh
was attacked, there is a ring of truth to this assertion.
There is now comparative quiet on the streets but this is
nothing more than a temporary calm, perhaps the calm before the storm.
Through no fault of its own, Hamas has little to offer the
people of Gaza. Israel controls the borders, sea and air as well as the passage
of goods. Israel can also cut off fuel supplies and electricity at any time it
likes. And since Hamas� takeover of Gaza isn�t recognized by either Israel or
Egypt, it will be unable to negotiate the opening up of supply routes.
Hamas has turned out to be a liability for the Palestinians
and a barrier to their hopes of a state all because the US, Israel and their
European allies labeled Hamas a terrorist organization from day one and treated
it as a pariah that must be crushed. It was never given a chance to show what
it could do and it never will be provided with that opportunity.
It may be a bitter pill to swallow for Hamas and for those
Palestinians who voted for a Hamas-led government, but Hamas should relinquish
Gaza and back the emergency government on condition their militants aren�t
hunted down and their leadership is not targeted.
The Hamas-Fatah split is divisive and polarizing for the
Palestinian people. It would be in the interests of all Palestinians for Hamas
to get out of the game for now at least.
Then Fatah must appoint a new leader. Abbas did not enjoy
the support of Yasser Arafat and is not supported by his people. Interestingly,
Abbas appears to be aware of his own shortcomings and is apparently set to ask
Israel to release Marwan Barghouthi -- arguably the one man who could reunite
Palestinians of all factions. Barghouthi, currently serving time in an Israeli
jail for multiple murders that he denies committing, is considered by most
Palestinians as a true patriot and is a popular grassroots leader.
A member of Fatah since the age of 15, Barghouthi was
prominent during both the first and second intifadahs, yet, during a stint as a
member of the Palestinian Authority he veered toward peace with Israel and lent
his support to a two-state solution. At the end of 2005, Barghouthi announced
the formation of a new party called Al-Mustaqbal or �The Future,� which was to
be committed to fighting corruption. But this idea was put on hold during
Barghouthi�s incarceration when it was deemed impracticable.
The Palestinians desperately need a hero. Fatah needs
someone capable of gluing their people back together and Mahmoud Abbas needs
someone who can prop him up.
The Israelis say they need a peace partner -- a person able
to speak for all Palestinians. Marwan Barghouthi may be the only viable
candidate for the job.
Linda
S. Heard is a British specialist writer on Middle East affairs. She welcomes
feedback and can be contacted by email at heardonthegrapevines@yahoo.co.uk.