In the midst of intense debate on how to honorably extricate
the United States from the increasingly chaotic situation in Iraq, politicians
in Washington are well advised to take a lesson in how ignoring Iraqi social
forces and how the power of tradition has led to a disastrous outcome and a
badly damaged U.S. stance abroad. In fact, Iraq is a special case study that
offers a valuable lesson in understanding the powerful hold of social passion
and spiritual sentiment on the populace.
Instantaneous and abounding, deep and widely expressed,
Iraqi social passions have badly impaired the administration�s military plans
and in a political vacuum, have situated politically inexperienced individuals
on the center stage of influence. And no other than Muqtada al-Sadr has found
himself the subject of mass affection, admiration, and reverence.
Indeed, the invasion of Iraq has highlighted a subtle
reality that whatever happens socially is not accidental and most likely
impossible to comprehend without an intimate familiarity with the roots of the
Iraqi culture and the symbolic and substantial attachment of Iraqis to their
revered personalities. For most politicians and foreign policy experts, Muqtad
al-Sadr is just an agitator. For millions of ordinary Iraqis he is the living
symbol of their suffering, hope, and aspiration.
Since the seventh century, ordinary Iraqis have made
correlations between their tragedies and oppressions, between the brutal murder
of the Prophet Mohamed�s grandson, Imam Hussein, and tyranny. For many Iraqis,
Imam Hussein embodied the message of liberation and faith, pride and dignity.
His message is always alive giving them hope and fortitude in the struggle
against tyranny and forceful suppression.
Unlike many former exiled Iraqis, Muqtada al-Sadr is not a
transient phenomenon. Behind him is not only a prestigious lineage -- he is a
direct descendent of the Prophet Mohamed and Imam Hussein -- but also the fame
and influence of the legendary al-Sadr family. It is not surprising that
ordinary Iraqis draw a connection between their calamity and the occupation,
and the message of Imam Hussein and the call of al-Sadr for liberty and
dignity.
Muqtada al-Sadr�s father, Grand Ayatollah Mohammed Sadiq
al-Sader, who was killed along with two of his sons by Saddam in 1999,
displayed a rare combination of intellectual and philosophical leanings, while
maintaining close relations with ordinary citizens. Contrary to the practice of
his previous and contemporary ayatollahs, he vigorously pursued the opening of
Al-Hawzah (the learned religious community) to students from the ordinary Iraqi
citizenship and the poor and set the stage for active populace participation in
religious teaching. Furthermore, he established a network of charities and
mosques to serve the needs of those who have been long marginalized politically
and economically.
Muqtada al-Sadr capitalizes on his prestigious lineage, the
reverence with which his family is held and the network of charities and
mosques left by his father. Despite the fact, that after the death of his
father and under Saddam�s regime, he was deprived of adequate religious
teaching from preeminent scholars, those who identified with the legacy and
message of his father passionately and fiercely identified with his popular
political message.
Muqtada al-Sadr�s message is inherently more political and
secular than his religious competitors'. Immediately after the invasion, he
instructed his supporters to protect the people and the country, stating that
when the people fail to defend their country and freedom, the country is an
easy prey. His enthusiasm for the removal of Saddam�s regime was a factor for
his initial prohibition of any act against the American armies, as he thought
they would soon leave.
When L. Paul Bremer III and his Occupational Authority
showed frustration with al-Sadr�s message --Iraqis should run and chart the
future of the country -- al-Sadr intensified his call for a sovereign and free
Iraq. He called for a united Iraq and a cohesive country, where all sects and
religious groups could live free of terror. His patriotism and nonsectarian,
inclusive message appealed to a wide segment of the population.
From the start, al-Sadr
found himself and his supporters a target of the Occupational Authority,
Ba'athists, and foreign terrorists and has been the subject of fierce smear
campaigns instigated by various groups including the Supreme Council of Islamic
Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI), headed by Abdul Aziz al-Hakim, and the Communist
Party. The first envies the popularity of the Sadrist Movement, and the second
resents the fact that the Sadrist Movement is widely popular in areas that were
traditionally under its influence.
While the two failed American military showdowns with the
Sadrist Movement in 2004 helped to strengthen the popularity of the movement
and al-Sadr was elevated to a national hero, the showdowns also dramatically
steered the movement away from its primary patriotic goals. Likewise, the
movement has been targeted for infiltration by different forces and its members
have become preoccupied with religious rituals instead of governance.
While these developments have saddened al-Sadr, his deep pain
grows as he witnesses how former exiled groups have warmly and willingly
espoused political agendas that have steadily led to the fragmentation and
polarization of the country. When al-Sadr asserted that the occupation would
eventually lead to ruining the country socially, politically, and economically,
these groups ridiculed him.
Since 2005, terrorists have started to roam the country
freely and the newly established central government has been deliberately
weakened. The Iraqis' natural optimism and sense of pride has given way to fear
and pessimism. This sad state was accelerated when the terrorists bombed the
Shrine of Imam al-Askari in Samara in February 2006 and consequently inflamed
the already tense situation. Since then, and especially after the bloody
carnage in Sadr City on November 23, Muqtada has not been able to restrain his
followers from engaging in indiscriminate revenge.
As Iraq steadily slides into chaos and bloodshed, the gulf
among the people of what once used to be a beautiful country has deepened.
Muqtada al-Sadr�s initial optimism for building a functional country becomes a
remote reality and reversing the downfall of Iraq requires a miracle.
Underneath the surface of Iraqi pessimism there is a deep
optimism anchored on the expectation that the sooner the foreign troops leave
Iraq, the better the chance for Iraq to regain its health. Muqtada al-Sadr may
not be a seasoned politician, but he understands the psyche and the living
memory of the majority of Iraqis. The real test is whether or not al-Sadr can
persuade Iraqi political and religious groups to stop putting their faith in
foreigners and act responsibly to prevent an all-out civil war.
Abbas J. Ali, Ph.D., is a professor and director
in the School of International Management, Indiana University of Pennsylvania.