If Iran is able to withstand and stood firmly on her stance on nuclear issue exclusively for peaceful purposes and is not attacked by Israel (backed by the US) for the next three years then, as per my analysis, Islamic states, Arab nations or Muslims’ influence will rise exponentially around the globe, which definitely shall not be tolerated by Jews and they’ll not let it happen.

Iran -- a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) -- says the only aim of its program is civilian applications of the technology.

Iran is not close to having a nuclear weapon, which gives the United States and others countries time to try to persuade Tehran to abandon its suspected atomic arms program, U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said. “They’re not close to a stockpile, they’re not close to a [nuclear] weapon at this point, and so there is some time,” Gates said on NBC television’s “Meet The Press.” [1]

Israel’s persistence in wanting to attack Iran is not linked with any nuclear issue and, in reality, Israel and the USA knows very well that Iran is far from making enriched uranium grade used for making atomic bombs, as per different IAEA reports. [2]

The new chief of US intelligence has confirmed that Iran has no nuclear weapons program and is not developing nukes. [3]

Russia, which has greater access to Iran’s nuclear program than most countries in the world, and one of its companies, Atomstroyexport, has built the Bushehr nuclear reactor and Russian engineers have first-hand contact with their Iranian counterparts and even said that their country’s extensive spying network believes Iran is not yet able to build a nuclear bomb. [4]

The UN nuclear watchdog, which has carried out the highest number of inspections in its history on Iranian nuclear sites, has also found nothing to indicate that the nuclear program has been diverted toward weaponization, as recently published by Press TV on Feb 13, 2009. [5]

That said, Iran almost definitely remains at least five years or more away from having a genuine war-fighting nuclear capability. Even then, the mere possession of a nuclear bomb will not automatically give Iran a greater military power or increase its overall influence in the region. If we analyze this, we find that much global attention is paid to the security of Israel and to the interests of the United States, but little attention is given to Iran’s security needs -- which also has a right to exist peacefully. The regional problems facing Iran are indeed grave.

Then what remains the fundamental rationale for Israel to attack Iran? I am using the name of Israel repeatedly in wanting to attack Iran because neither the USA nor any other country has an interest in initiating a war and Israel will be the sole beneficiary of a war.

Two behind the curtain reasons for attacking Iran may be cited which Israel will not ever disclose or discuss openly.

Firstly and foremost, Israel wants to dominate the Middle East and sees Iran as a future threat in terms of dominance and, hence, Israel cannot dominate in the presence of Iran. In fact, Israel has a long term strategy for phase-wise global dominance and in the first phase wants to rule over the Middle East then move to expand its territory into Iraq. Then it wants to conquer and take over Egypt, Lebanon, Greece, Jordan, Syria and, finally, gradually take over other Muslim nations like nuclear armed Pakistan.

As the United States or rather Israel gears up for an attack on Iran, one thing is certain: it will never ever mention the seizure of oil and gas reserves as a reason for going to war, which is the second most reason. As in the case of Iraq, weapons of mass destruction (WMD) will be cited as the principal justification for an American assault. But just as the failure to discover WMD in Iraq undermined the Bush administration’s use of WMD as the paramount reason for its invasion, so any US claim that an attack on Iran would be justified because of its alleged nuclear potential should invite cynicism. More importantly, as Michael T. Klare writes in his article, ‘Oil, Geopolitics and the Coming War with Iran,’ that any serious assessment of Iran’s strategic importance to the United States should focus on its role in the global energy equation. [6]

But no war is ever prompted by one factor alone, and it is evident from the public record that many considerations, including oil, played a role in the Bush administration’s decision to invade Iraq. Likewise, it is reasonable to assume that many factors -- again including oil and gas -- are playing a role in the decision-making now underway over a possible assault on Iran.

According to the most recent tally by Oil and Gas Journal, Iran houses the second-largest pool of unexploited petroleum in the world, an estimated 125.8 billion barrels. Only Saudi Arabia, with an estimated 260 billion barrels, possesses more; Iraq, the third in line, has an estimated 115 billion barrels. With this much oil -- about one-tenth of the world’s estimated total supply -- Iran is certain to play a key role in the global energy equation, no matter what else occurs. It is not, however, just sheer quantity that matters in Iran’s case, no less important is its future productive capacity.

Iran, on the other hand, has considerable growth potential: it is now producing about 4 million barrels per day, but is thought to be capable of boosting its output by another 3 million barrels or so. Few, if any, other countries possess this potential, so Iran’s importance as a producer, already significant, is bound to grow exponentially in the years ahead. [7]

Some more facts must be kept in mind:

• Since 2004, all the nuclear material at Iran Nuclear sites and fuel enrichment plant as well as all installed cascades remain IAEA containment and surveillance, according to IAEA Board Report. [8]
  
  
• Since March 2007, 20 unannounced surprise inspections have been conducted by IAEA professionals at Iran’s Fuel Enrichment Plants and no trace of weapon grade uranium enrichment program was found so far. [9]
  
  
• Iran is a signatory of NNPT (Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty) since 1968 whereas Israel is not till today. Under Article IV of the NPT the enrichment program for civilian nuclear energy purpose is allowed. [10]
  
  
• Iran is the second largest oil producer and exporter of world and supplying 30 percent of total global oil production and has the second largest gas reserves in the world. [11]

• Iran’s Share of global reserves is 11.4 percent. [12]
  
  
• It’s share of the petroleum sector in the economy and its oil and gas constitute 82 percent of Iran’s exports. [13]
  
  
• Iran literacy rate is 79.4 percent. [14]
  
  
• Iran is an environment friendly country and a party to: Biodiversity, Climate Change, Climate Change-Kyoto Protocol (which even the USA has not signed), Desertification, Endangered Species, Hazardous Wastes, Marine Dumping, Ozone Layer Protection, Ship Pollution, Wetlands signed, but not ratified: Environmental Modification, Law of the Sea, Marine Life Conservation [15]
  
  
• Iran is not a banana republic, having a GDP per capita of $13,100 (2008 est.) [16]

The next three years are very crucial for the Middle East and its policy shall be decided according to the happenings in these three years. The Jewish lobby, which is controlling not only the USA, the entire global media but also controlling 50 percent of the global wealth through the Rothschild banking family and the Federal Reserve System, is in a continuous process of destabilizing Iran through its media campaign [17] and spreading disinformation through the IAEA and persuading the IEAEA, from the inside, to issue anti-Iran statements and reports.

Therefore, Israel cannot attack Iran as it can be quite expensive keeping in view that global assessment regarding Iran’s nuclear capability. But at the same time, Iran’s firm stand shall provide an opportunity for the Muslim world to unite. Because up until now, no Muslim country dared to stand up to Israel and most of the Muslim countries have been incapable of uniting. If they were united, then the recent GAZA offence by Israel could have been stopped or averted. The most Muslim countries have done is verbally condemn Israel’s actions. Iran’s hard stand on the nuclear issue also provides an opportunity for Palestine to be reborn and re-built.

It is evident attacking Iran does not serve the purpose of the USA and, without US support, Israel cannot dare to assault Iran, as reported in the Asia Times.

‘The result could be aserious test between the next Israeli government and its influential US advocates. The Obama administration clearly believes that real progress toward resolving the 60-year-old conflict is critical both to restoring Washington’s credibility among the Arab states and curbing the further radicalization of the region’s population -- particularly in the wake of Israel’s recent military offensive in Gaza.’ [18]

Finally, world leaders must realize that the Arab League Peace Plan is the only solution for the existence of both Israel and Iran which ultimately leads to peace in Palestine. The Arab League should give a major new push for the adoption of its 2002 peace plan, which provides for Arab recognition of Israel in return for the latter’s withdrawal from all occupied Arab lands.