The march to war with Iran is continuing apace despite
skyrocketing gold prices, a jittery oil market, and the unrelenting chaos in
nearby Iraq.
Are we surprised?
The control of Middle East oil has always been a central
part of the neocon strategy for global domination. That won’t change.
The toppling of Iran’s theocratic regime would consolidate
dwindling resources under the stars and stripes and guarantee continued
supremacy of US financial institutions, American energy giants, and the
faltering greenback. Additionally, it would defang a potential rival to an
emergent Israel, which sees itself as the prevailing power in the region.
Game; set; match!
There have been many signs that war is imminent, perhaps,
none as convincing as the unexpected announcement last year that both General
Electric and Halliburton were picking up stakes and leaving Iran.
Is Halliburton normally that squeamish about ethical issues
related to trading with nations boycotted by the US?
The recess appointment of "mad hatter" John Bolton
as ambassador to the UN was another indication that Washington was on the
warpath. The fiery Bolton was “backdoored” into his position against the strong
dissent of Democratic senators for one reason alone; to bully the Security
Council into another preemptive war. He hasn’t disappointed.
Just yesterday, Bolton lashed out in one of his familiar
tirades saying, “This will be a test for the council, and appropriately so, because
the Iranian pursuit of nuclear weapons and ballistic missile delivery systems
threatens their region and threatens the world as a whole.”
Whoa!
No one except Bolton and his neocon friends in the
hard-right think-tanks have made such unsupportable allegations. Could it be
that the whole nuclear weapons issue is just a convenient pretext for war?
Could it be (as the Downing Street Memo avers) that the
“facts and intelligence are being fixed around the policy”?
Condoleezza Rice has added her voice to the chorus of
right-wing pundits and politicos who want to expand the war in the Middle East.
Just yesterday she said, “We’ve got to finally demonstrate to Iran that it
can’t with impunity just cast aside the just demands of the international
community.” Then she added ominously, “[The president] always keeps all his
options open.”
The “demands of the international community” never factor in
to the decision making process at the Bush White House; nor do the facts. As
yet, there’s no concrete proof that Iran is in violation of its treaty
requirements under the terms of the NPT (Non-Proliferation Treaty). The case
before the IAEA is a feeble rehashing of breaches that date back more than two
years. Since then, Iran has been under the strictest inspection regimen ever
devised by the watchdog agency.
The results have shown no evidence that Iran has a nuclear
weapons program; as IAEA Chief Mohamed ElBaradei said, “We don’t see a clear
and present danger.”
This is bad news for the warmongers.
Given the sketchiness of the allegations, it’s looking
increasingly uncertain that the case will go beyond the IAEA to the UN Security
Council. However, one should never underestimate the persuasive powers of the
Bush diplomatic team.
Presently, the US, Britain and Israel are pushing hard to
have the case referred to the UN-5, (the 5 permanent members of the Security
Council) but Russia and China are understandably reluctant. Russian Foreign
Minister Sergei Lavrov was unwilling to even discuss sanctions on Iran saying,
“Sanctions are not the best way to solve international problems”; dismissing
the suggestion as “putting the cart before the horse.”
Chinese Foreign Minister Kong Quan was equally hesitant to
support any move that would bring Iran before the council saying, “We think the
most urgent thing for all the parties now is to still keep patient and make the
utmost efforts to resume the negotiations between the EU-3 and Iran.”
Nevertheless, the Bush administration believes it can garner
the necessary votes to bring Iran before the Security Council and, perhaps, win
support for punitive action.
The European allies remain deeply skeptical. After all,
Europe and China depend heavily on Iranian oil and natural gas. (China imports
17 percent of its oil from Iran) So, any major disruption of supplies or
closing down of the Strait of Hormuz would have a catastrophic effect on their
economies.
In a worrisome article in the Christian Science Monitor, “On
Iran, the West looks for a Plan,” reporter Howard LaFranchi notes, “For some
experts the time is ripe to prepare the world economy for living without
Iranian oil -- by developing pipelines in the oil-rich Gulf region to
circumvent Iran-dominated transport routes.” . . ."countries should take
steps now to ease the burden of future moves.”
“If you’re not prepared to do this,” says Henry Sokolski,
executive director of the Non-Proliferation Policy Education Center of
Washington, “you’re not going to do very much.”
“Living without Iranian oil?”
This shows us how grave the situation really is, and how the
administration and Israel may be willing to disrupt the global economy and send
oil prices shooting through the ceiling to achieve there mutual objectives.
Still, there’s the nettlesome problem of whether Iran is
guilty of the breaches in the NPT for which it stands accused. It could be that
the administration is simply wrong as it was about Iraq.
It’s also worth considering that the mere existence of WMD
cannot be considered a legitimate rationale for aggression; a point that now seems
to be an article of faith among liberals and conservatives alike. The
possession of WMD neither proves “intention” nor “imminent threat.” If the
production of WMD legitimized preemptive action, than the United States would
be a justifiable target for every other nation in the world.
In Iran’s case, we have no evidence of a nuclear weapons
program or of noncompliance. Rather, we have the Bush administration asking its
allies to deprive Iran of its “inalienable right” under the NPT to enrich
uranium for peaceful purposes.
Nuclear weapons expert Gordon Prather points out the flaws
in the administration’s position when he repeats the comments of Iran’s Foreign
Minister Kamal Kharrazi in his recent article “What Noncompliance?”
Kharrazi says: “The ‘inalienable right’ of states to develop
nuclear technology for peaceful purposes emanates from the universally accepted
proposition that scientific and technological achievements are the common
heritage of mankind. . . . It is unacceptable that ‘some’ intend to limit the
access to peaceful nuclear technology to an exclusive club of technologically
advanced states under the pretext of ‘non-proliferation.’ This attitude is in
clear violation of the letter and spirit of the treaty and destroys the
fundamental balance which exists between the rights and obligations in the
treaty.”
“Scientific . . . achievements are the common heritage of
mankind.”
Amen.
Neither the United States nor the world community have the
right to deprive Iran of the peaceful use of nuclear technology.
The United Nations should be looking for ways to strengthen
the existing treaty and avert an impending war.
As Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov opined, “Our common goal
is to ensure the viability of the nuclear non-proliferation regime. If we all
strive for this main goal, we will be able to find a collective approach to
solving this issue
Mike
Whitney lives in Washington state. He can be reached at: fergiewhitney@msn.com.