George W. Bush looked into the TV camera Tuesday morning and
tried to assuage the fears of about 300 million Americans who believed they
were in the middle of a recession.
“The economy is growing,” said the president. “Productivity
is high,” he told us. “Trade’s up. People are working,” he said. In the Bush
White House, the “R Word” is just a myth. Of course, the man who once wanted to
be known as the Compassionate Conservative did say he knew, “It’s been a
difficult time for many American families.”
“Difficult” doesn’t even begin to describe what has happened
to Americans the past seven years.
Within hours of the president’s speech, a less optimistic
Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve, told the Senate Banking
Committee that inflation is high and “seems likely to move temporarily higher
in the near term.” In sworn testimony, he told the senators, “Many financial
markets and institutions remain under considerable stress, in part because of
the outlook for the economy and thus for credit quality, remains uncertain.”
Market Watch reports that over the past year, “inflation at the wholesale level
gained 9.2 percent -- the largest year-over-year gain since June 1981.”
On the day that the president assuaged and the Federal
Reserve chairman testified, General Motors announced it would freeze job
hirings in several areas, lay off salaried workers, suspend shareholder
dividends, and borrow up to $3 billion. Six weeks earlier, GM announced it was
closing four plants; on the day the president spoke, GM announced four more
plant closings. The nation’s largest corporation, which saw a 16 percent sales
decline in the first half of the year, announced that it was giving retired
workers a slight pension increase but was cutting health care benefits.
About 8.5 million Americans actively seeking work are
unemployed, an increase of about 21.4 percent over one year ago, according to
the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The unemployment rate of 5.5 percent is
up from 4.6 percent a year ago. More important, about 1.5 million of the 8.5
million unemployed have been unemployed at least six months, a 37 percent
increase over the past year, according to the BLS. Not included in the numbers
are the “1.6 million people who are ‘marginally attached’ to the workforce, who
had looked for work in the previous 12 months, but not in the last month,”
according to Andre Damon of Global Research. Damon also reports that the BLS
data does not include about 420,000 “‘discouraged workers,’ who had given up
looking for work because they think that there is no work available.”
Work is available in dozens of other countries, where
American companies seeking to “maximize the bottom line” have been outsourcing
jobs for years. About 14 million American jobs are going to be outsourced in
the next four years, according to a report issued by the University of
California at Berkeley. Shortsighted and greedy, these CEOs and their boards
believe child labor and wages that can dip below $1 an hour is just another
acceptable business practice. The “Made in America” label is now becoming as
extinct as corporate morality.
Americans who have been using credit cards to survive the recession
and have now reached their credit limit can raise their limit or sometimes
reduce their payments or rate. All they have to do is call a credit card
agency’s toll-free number, which is answered by someone at a call center in
India. Those same call centers are also telemarketing Americans to get into
even more debt by getting credit cards.
In a true “global economy,” as many now euphemistically
refer to outsourcing, persons having trouble with their computers assembled
from parts made in Mexico and several Asian countries can now call technicians
in India for assistance.
Book and magazine publishers have been outsourcing art,
design, editing, and printing overseas. Even newspapers have figured out how to
cut even more costs while driving up profits. The Orange County (Calif.)
Register, which laid off 90
persons in 2007, outsourced copyediting and page design to journalists in
India. The Modesto (Calif.) Bee and Sacramento Bee have outsourced
most of their advertising design departments to India.
For Americans who have jobs, getting to them is more
expensive. It makes no difference if the worker drives or takes public
transportation, the rising cost of oil has pushed Americans into a crisis. Gas
prices rose more than 25 percent in the past year, to more than $4 by July 1;
diesel prices are up more than 30 percent to more than $5. The higher fuel
costs affect almost every service and industry from home heating to food
production and road repair.
Flushed with an inflated housing boom, banks and mortgage
companies had begun issuing mortgages, usually with excessive fees and high
interest rates, to just about anyone with a pulse. The weaker the credit
rating, the higher the fees and interest. Even if the economy was healthy,
there would have been several hundred thousand defaults. By the end of 2007,
about 2.5 million mortgages were in default, almost 40 percent higher than one
year earlier. Attached to the problem is that many new homeowners bought houses
at inflated prices, assured by lending companies that housing prices would continue
to rise, are making monthly payments that put them at financial risk, and are
now watching the value of their houses decline.
Foreclosures and the recession have driven down housing
prices throughout the country. In 20 major American cities, house prices
declined about 15 percent, according to the Case-Shiller index of housing
prices. Prices declined by 25 percent in Las Vegas, Miami, and Phoenix,
according to Case-Shiller. In California, the median price of houses declined
by 35 percent over last year, according to the California Association of
Realtors.
Monday morning, the day before the president’s speech,
hundreds of Americans stood in line at the 33 Southern California branches of
IndyMac Bank, now renamed Indymac Federal Bank, to withdraw what they hoped was
all of their money. Over 11 days, customers had withdrawn about $1.3 billion,
amid rumors that the bank was failing. The previous Friday, federal regulators
seized the bank, once one of the nation’s largest mortgage lenders. Last year,
the bank lost $615 million; the books bled red another $184 million the first
three months of this year. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.(FDIC) guarantees
each individual account to $100,000, joint accounts to $200,000, and retirement
accounts to $250,000. Those with less knew they would get all of their money.
For those with more, some were just hoping to recover 50 cents on the dollar.
The cost to the FDIC is expected to be $4–8 billion. IndyMac was the fifth bank
to fail in the previous six months.
Also failing were the Federal National Mortgage Association
(better known as Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. (better
known as Freddie Mac). The quasi-governmental agencies either own the loans or
guarantee loans for almost half of the nation’s $11 trillion in mortgages. But,
with more homeowners buying houses they couldn’t afford and now being subjected
to rising costs in almost every area, combined with higher unemployment, both
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac faced collapse, their stock value freefalling about
90 percent in the past year. To keep the two agencies from failing, which would
undoubtedly throw the nation into a deeper recession that could dive into a depression,
the Federal Reserve announced it would issue low-cost loans of up to $15
billion.
While 15 billion taxpayer dollars may seem significant, it
is only about 9 percent of the $168 billion Congress appropriated for the war
this year. President Bush, Vice President Cheney, and their advisors were
vigorous in demanding the U.S. go to war in Iraq and vigorous in demanding
massive funding for that war, which may now cost more than $1 trillion.
President Bush did acknowledge that the economy wasn’t “as
good as we’d like, and to the extent that we’ll find weaknesses, we’ll move.”
As domestic problems piled up the past few years, much caused by a diversion of
the budget and assets to Iraq, it seemed that the Bush–Cheney administration
moved on domestic policies at the speed of a glacier.
Not receiving much help are the 47 million Americans who
don’t have medical insurance, mostly because they can’t afford the premiums,
and the 3.5 million homeless, most of whom once had homes and jobs but are now
living in their cars or makeshift shelters. About one-fourth of the homeless
are veterans; slightly more than one-third of the homeless are children.
In 1992, Bill Clinton and Al Gore campaigned against
President George H.W. Bush on the slogan, “It’s the economy, stupid.” The
politics of that election came down to asking Americans if they were better off
under that President Bush after four years than they were when his presidency
began. Four presidential terms later, after eight years of a rising economy
under President Clinton, it’s the economy -- not the war, the attack upon civil
liberties, the destruction of the environment, or any of a few dozen other
destructive policies -- that may be what finally scuttles this Bush’s legacy.
Walter
Brasch is professor of journalism at Bloomsburg University and president of the
Pennsylvania Press Club. He is senior author of the critically-acclaimed “The
Press and the State,” and author of “‘Unacceptable’: The Federal Response to
Hurricane Katrina” (January 2006) and “Sinking the Ship of State: The
Presidency of George W. Bush” (November 2007), available through amazon.com. You
may contact Brasch at brasch@bloomu.edu
or through his website at: www.walterbrasch.com.